INDEPENDENT NEWS

Roy Morgan Poll: Nat 57.5% Lab 42.5%

Published: Thu 28 Jul 2011 05:09 PM
New Zealand National-Led Government Gains And Has Winning Lead
57.5% cf. 42.5%
Finding No. 4690 - This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone with a NZ wide cross-section of 895 electors from July 11-24, 2011. Of all electors surveyed 8.5% (unchanged) didn’t name a party.: July 28, 2011
The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows support for Prime Minister John Key’s National-led Government is at 57.5% (up 2.5%). Support for Key’s National Party is 52% (up 3%), ACT NZ 2% (down 1%), the Maori Party 3% (up 0.5%), and United Future 0.5% (unchanged).
Support for Opposition Parties is at 42.5% (down 2.5%) — Labour Party 31.5% (down 2%), Greens 7.5% (unchanged), New Zealand First 2.5% (down 0.5%), Mana Party 0.5% and Others 0.5% (down 0.5%).
If a National Election were held today the National Party would easily be returned to Government.
The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has risen 1 point to 127.5 with 56.5% (up 0.5%) of New Zealanders saying New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 29% (down 0.5%) that say New Zealand is ‘heading in the wrong direction.’
Gary Morgan says:
“Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows an increasing lead for Prime Minister John Key’s National-led Government (57.5%, up 2.5%), well ahead of the Opposition Parties (42.5%, down 2.5%). A further good sign for the Key Government is the rise in the New Zealand Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating — up 1pt to 127.5 and now at its highest since mid March.
“Roy Morgan has measured nationwide support for Hone Harawira’s new Mana Party for the first time at 0.5%, level with United Future, after the victory on June 25, 2011 of Harawira in a by-election for his electorate (Te Tai Tokerau) caused by his resignation from the Maori Party.”
Electors were asked: “If a New Zealand Election were held today which party would receive your party vote?”
This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone with a NZ wide cross-section of 895 electors from July 11-24, 2011. Of all electors surveyed 8.5% (unchanged) didn’t name a party.
VOTING INTENTION SUMMARY
The following table compares the latest NZ Morgan Polls on Voting Intention with the result from the November 8, 2008 General Election:
MORGAN POLL NationalLabourGreen PartyACT NZMaori Party*United FutureNZ FirstProgressive PartyMana PartyOther[ … ]June 13-26, 20115430.55.52.530.53.5^n/a0.5June 27 - July 10, 20114933.57.532.50.53^n/a1July 11-24, 20115231.57.5230.52.5^0.50.5
*The Maori Party was launched in July 2004; ^ Result less than 0.5%.
[ … ]
Full report with two-party vote, confidence question, charts and survey details at http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2011/4690/
Roy Morgan Research
New Zealand's leading social and market research company
A full service research organisation specialising in omnibus and syndicated data, Roy Morgan Research has over 70 years' experience in collecting objective, independent information on consumers. Roy Morgan Research was set up in New Zealand in the 1990s and has been collecting information across a wide range of industries in New Zealand ever since. Roy Morgan currently has over 10 years of trended data on a geographically and demographically representative sample of over 12,000 New Zealanders aged 14+.
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