57.5% cf. 42.5%
Finding No. 4690 - This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone with a NZ wide
cross-section of 895 electors from July 11-24, 2011. Of all electors surveyed 8.5% (unchanged) didn’t name a party.:
July 28, 2011
The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows support for Prime Minister John Key’s National-led Government is at 57.5%
(up 2.5%). Support for Key’s National Party is 52% (up 3%), ACT NZ 2% (down 1%), the Maori Party 3% (up 0.5%), and
United Future 0.5% (unchanged).
Support for Opposition Parties is at 42.5% (down 2.5%) — Labour Party 31.5% (down 2%), Greens 7.5% (unchanged), New
Zealand First 2.5% (down 0.5%), Mana Party 0.5% and Others 0.5% (down 0.5%).
If a National Election were held today the National Party would easily be returned to Government.
The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has risen 1 point to 127.5 with 56.5% (up 0.5%) of New
Zealanders saying New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 29% (down 0.5%) that say New Zealand is
‘heading in the wrong direction.’
Gary Morgan says:
“Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows an increasing lead for Prime Minister John Key’s National-led Government
(57.5%, up 2.5%), well ahead of the Opposition Parties (42.5%, down 2.5%). A further good sign for the Key Government is
the rise in the New Zealand Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating — up 1pt to 127.5 and now at its highest since mid
March.
“Roy Morgan has measured nationwide support for Hone Harawira’s new Mana Party for the first time at 0.5%, level with
United Future, after the victory on June 25, 2011 of Harawira in a by-election for his electorate (Te Tai Tokerau)
caused by his resignation from the Maori Party.”
Electors were asked: “If a New Zealand Election were held today which party would receive your party vote?”
This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone with a NZ wide cross-section of
895 electors from July 11-24, 2011. Of all electors surveyed 8.5% (unchanged) didn’t name a party.
VOTING INTENTION SUMMARY
The following table compares the latest NZ Morgan Polls on Voting Intention with the result from the November 8, 2008
General Election:
MORGAN POLL NationalLabourGreen PartyACT NZMaori Party*United FutureNZ FirstProgressive PartyMana PartyOther[ … ]June 13-26, 20115430.55.52.530.53.5^n/a0.5June 27 - July 10, 20114933.57.532.50.53^n/a1July 11-24, 20115231.57.5230.52.5^0.50.5
*The Maori Party was launched in July 2004; ^ Result less than 0.5%.
[ … ]
Full report with two-party vote, confidence question, charts and survey details at http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2011/4690/