3 News Poll
Embargoed until 6.00pm Monday 3rd March 2008
Opinion Poll
Results
19th February– 26th February 2008
Press Release: 3 News Opinion Poll Results
SEE FULL POLL DETAILS INCLUDING HISTORICAL TRENDS AND TABLES WITH ANSWERS ON LEADERSHIP ATTRIBUTES FOR KEY & CLARK - WORD .DOC FORMAT
Projected number of seats in the House
on the basis of the latest poll results
Number of seats*
Labour 44
National 64
Green Party 9
Maori Party 4
ACT 1
United Future 1
Jim Anderton Progressive 1
NZ First -
Total seats 124
• These figures are based on Progressive, United Future and ACT winning one electorate seat each and the Maori
Party winning four electorate seats
SEE FULL POLL DETAILS INCLUDING HISTORICAL TRENDS AND TABLES WITH ANSWERS ON LEADERSHIP ATTRIBUTES FOR KEY & CLARK - WORD .DOC FORMAT
Research Methodology by TNS Direct
Date poll was conducted
Interviews were conducted over the period
19th – 26th February 2008
Sample Size
1000 voter eligible New Zealanders aged 18+
Sampling Technique
Telephone Interviews. Random generation of telephone numbers with quota sampling to ensure representative cross section
by age, sex and geography
Sample Coverage
National including rural, secondary urban and main urban areas
Sample Error
Maximum of 3.1% expressed at a 95% confidence level (see below)
Observed Percentages 10% or 90% 20% or 80% 30% or 70% 40% or 60% 50%
Confidence limits +/- 1.9% +/- 2.5% +/- 2.7% +/- 3.0% +/- 3.1%
SEE FULL POLL DETAILS INCLUDING HISTORICAL TRENDS AND TABLES WITH ANSWERS ON LEADERSHIP ATTRIBUTES FOR KEY & CLARK - WORD .DOC FORMAT
ENDS