TPP Leak: Daunting Obstacles for Obama's 2013 Deadline
New Leaked TPP Documents Reveal Daunting Obstacles for Obama's 2013 Deadline to Complete the Deal at Ministerial Meeting’s Midpoint
U.S. Isolated on Outrageous Demands that Nations Alter Policies on Medicine Prices, Internet Freedom, Financial Regulations; Congressionally-Demanded Disciplines on State Owned Enterprises, Enforceable Environmental Standards MIA
WASHINGTON – The Obama administration’s do-or-die 2013 deadline for the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) came into question at the midpoint of closed-door negotiations underway in Singapore, as newly-leaked documents show deep disagreement between Washington and its prospective TPP partners on key aspects of the pact – as well as concerns by a government involved that missing yet another deadline could undermine the process.
With TPP talks shrouded in intense secrecy, the leaks provide the clearest view into the range of sensitive “behind the borders” issues that have spurred growing public opposition to the sweeping agreement in some participating countries. The documents also reveal U.S. negotiators pushing an agenda in line with American corporate interests on a range of issues, including expansive intellectual property rights, limits on financial regulation and expansive new investor rights to demand compensation from government over policies they claim undermine expected profits.
“Before entering into specific detail in some areas of negotiation, it is noted that the scenario for Singapore seems uncertain given the number of outstanding issues that still remain... The aforementioned, even leaving aside the more complex issues (IP, SOEs and Environment), demonstrates a situation that makes it very difficult to think of a complete closure in December,” according to one leaked memo, which had been prepared by a member nation in advance of the ministerial-level talks. “Some suggested the need to prepare different scenarios, in order to not suffer surprises that affect the process. This involves being prepared for a partial closure scenario or even a failure in December…”
The Huffington Post broke the news
about the leaked memo, posting it and a chart showing the
positions of each country on scores of unresolved issues.
The documents reveal that many Obama administration demands
have serious consequences for member nations and their
populations – including higher drug prices, vastly
extended copyright terms, tough new Internet restrictions
similar to the unpopular Stop Online Piracy Act (SOPA), and
curbs on financial regulation that face widespread rejection
from other TPP countries as well as stiff opposition in the
U.S. Congress.
“This leak guts the sense of
inevitability about TPP that the negotiators have been so
relentlessly building both because it shows, thankfully, how
far from agreement the countries are and it puts people in
all of the involved countries on notice about just how
dangerous this deal would be for them,” said Lori Wallach,
Director. “Having these documents released also puts the
kibosh on the usual triumphant announcements that follow
each of these high-level TPP meetings regardless of what
actually happened in the talks.”
The leaked
documents reveal that, going in to the Singapore talks,
there were 119 contested issues in the TTP draft
Intellectual Property chapter. The United States has been
largely isolated in pushing an agenda favorable to large
pharmaceutical firms, including extended patents, data
exclusivity and other monopoly powers that would hike
medicine prices.
The memo and chart reveal that the
U.S. promotion of Hollywood and recording industry-inspired
proposals that would greatly extend copyright durations,
limit innovation and access to educational materials and
force Internet providers to act as “copyright police”
also remains widely opposed.
Financial services
issues raised in TPP talks are “paralyzed,” according to
the memo. U.S. officials haven’t budged on what other
partners consider outrageous demands – including
requirements that TPP member nations agree to a ban on
countries’ use of various common-sense, macro-prudential
measures, including capital controls that the IMF now
endorses to avoid floods of speculative capital that cause
financial crises.
The leak reveals that lead TPP
negotiators meeting in Salt Lake City just before
Thanksgiving missed a key milestone in market access
negotiations. Japan continued to insist that certain
agricultural commodities be excluded from TPP’s rules
zeroing out tariffs. U.S. refusal to make offers on
sensitive market access issues also raised ire from other
countries, according to the memo.
Japan recently
reiterated its position when U.S. Vice President Joe Biden
visited Tokyo last week: “The minister in charge of the
Trans-Pacific Partnership free trade negotiations said
Sunday that Tokyo can make no more concessions to Washington
on sensitive issues after a Japan-U.S. meeting ended without
progress.” Japan’s parliament has listed five
“sacred” commodities it says must be excluded from TTP
rules zeroing out tariffs: rice, beef and pork, wheat and
barley, sugar and dairy.
The United States and Japan
were isolated, according to the leaked memo, in pushing to
extend the controversial investor-state dispute settlement
system, which empowers private firms to skirt member
nations’ laws and courts and instead present grievances in
a private tribunal, demanding compensation from governments
for policies they claim undermine investor rights.
Both the environmental chapter and a text on
state-owned enterprises (SOEs) appeared to be in shambles at
the Singapore talks began. The Obama administration faces
considerable political peril on these issues. Democrats and
Republicans alike have insisted that TPP include enforceable
rules ensuring state owned firms competing in the private
sector do not obtain any support from governments.
With respect to environmental standards, Congress
forced Obama’s Republican predecessor, President George W.
Bush, to insert labor and environmental standards into his
Free Trade Agreements -- standards enforceable through the
same trade sanctions as the pacts’ commercial provisions.
If the Obama administration rolls back those policies, it
will lose almost all Democratic congressional support for
TPP. It is unclear if U.S. officials have even raised the
currency discipline provisions that 60 Senators and 230
House members have demanded.
In another chapter
relating to medicine pricing, the United States has
reintroduced an Annex that it drafted in 2011 that all other
TPP countries had rejected. Cynically dubbed the “Annex on
Transparency and Procedural Fairness for Healthcare
Technologies” it would allow drug firms to challenge TPP
nations’ medicine formulary reimbursement and pricing
decisions. The target: the national health care systems of
New Zealand, Australia and other TPP nations, which have
used formulary lists to greatly reduce healthcare costs.
Grassroots and legislator opposition to these terms in those
nations is virulent, which may explain why U.S.
reintroduction of the proposal has generated ire. U.S. state
officials and Democratic congressional supporters of
Obamacare also oppose those terms, which could undermine use
of formularies to reduce U.S. healthcare costs.
Among the controversies revealed by the memo, which was written after the November 16-24 Salt Lake City round of TPP talks:
Medicine Patents: “As a general consideration, the meeting served to confirm the large differences that continue in most areas of the chapter, which introduces serious doubts as to what will happen in Singapore… Similar to what happened in SOEs, implicitly, it is admitted that it will not be possible to conclude this issue in Singapore... The Chair aims to reduce the number of the 119 outstanding issues.”
Financial
Services: “Inadequate progress. The positions are
still paralysed. United States shows zero
flexibility…”
Environment:
“Meeting was interrupted because we could not get past the
second issue [on] the definition of environmental law....”
State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs):
“…the CNs [chief negotiators] recognised that the
Ministers will not be in a position to agree to the text
entirely in Singapore, so we decided that the Group make a
list of questions (no more than four) that in a binary way,
pose decisions arising around the central issues of the
text: sub-national level, disciplines on subsidies or
competitive advantages; treatment of exceptions or
restricting the scope of application. The idea is that
Ministers answer these questions and on that basis the Group
works - in Singapore – to reflect those answers in the
text. … this is a huge task, considering the level of
immaturity of the negotiations of the text...The common
factor in other conversations (MX, SG, PE) is the shared
idea that this is very far from closed, and there is little
room to make progress on a possible meeting in
Singapore…”
Investor State Dispute
Settlement (ISDS): “…The most important issue
for the majority of members… is the proposal by the U.S.
to apply ISDS to Investment Agreements and Investment
Authorisations. The United States, as in previous rounds,
has shown no flexibility on its proposal, being one of the
most significant barriers to closing the chapter, since
under the concept of Investment Agreement nearly all
significant contracts that that can be made between a State
and a foreign investor are included. …It covers important
concessions including mining, administrative or special
operating contracts for hydrocarbon exploration, public
works concessions (roads, highways, bridges, infrastructure,
etc.) and it would override the choice of forum provisions
in these contracts… …Only the U.S. and Japan support the
proposal. …Another of the most contested topics was the
scope of the application of Investor- State dispute
settlement (ISDS). This issue is far from being agreed,
given that there are fundamental differences among the
members…”
“Transparency” Annex on Medicines: “…Some bad news was that the United States revived the Transparency Annex on Medicines… Some countries expressed annoyance for the way that they resubmitted a text that had been strongly rejected in the past…. The U.S. reiterated that it does not apply to all countries and was asked to put a footnote that says that. That’s where it was left…”
Market Access in Goods:
“… The panorama with Japan in particular looks very
difficult. There should be a high-level instruction to
confirm the understanding of the – no exclusions –so
that JP (and several other countries) will move… On tariff
negotiation, Milestone 4 is not fulfilled, because the U.S.
prefers to leave it for Singapore where it can know what is
the overall package that it would be closing. NZ, CA, CL, AU
and PE indicated frustration with the aforementioned and
with the continued lack of transparency… CL said it is
necessary to have more transparency before Singapore, it is
not adequate to learn of the status of offers in Singapore.
United States outlined that the use of quotas would be the
way to address certain sensitivities of some countries. That
would be the way to grant access to Australia in sugar. The
CNs gave instructions to intensify bilateral meetings and in
those meetings countries to provide more information on the
process of their offers. However, there is not much
expectation that the situation on this point will
improve……As for the text, while some provisions were
closed, issues on agriculture which the U.S. rejects remain
pending”
Rules of Origin: “Very
little progress in Sections A and B. Vietnam and Mexico with
very little movement in areas of concern to them….”
Specific Rules of Origin: “…Much work
remains and it is unclear whether we will be able to finish
within the set timeframe, especially when you consider that
what is left is the most
sensitive…”
Textiles: “…There
was a major crisis after Mexico reported that it was leaving
the Short Supply List because their interests have not been
addressed by other countries, particularly Vietnam. This
implies that Mexico applies the strictest general rule (Yarn
Forward) and does not accept cumulation for the 187 products
included in the list. Peru reacted strongly because it
causes problems in their private sector. …There was an
impression that this from Mexico was "cooked up" by the U.S.
previously. This crisis is
evolving…”
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