Climate Migration In Latin America: A Future ‘Flood Of Refugees’ To The North? Part 2
The second segment of this research piece identifies Mexico as an environmentally induced migration ‘hotspot,’ discusses
development impacts in Latin America, and speculates on potential responses from Washington.
‘Hotspot’ case study: Mexico
With a confluence of climate and non-climate drivers, the ubiquitous presence of land degradation, and an irregular
geographical population and land distribution, Mexico stands out as an exemplary potential hotspot for
environmentally-induced migration in Latin America.1 Its adjacency to the United States has in part facilitated
international migration as a viable coping strategy. Migration exponentially rose in the 1980s following the economic
hardships stemming from Mexico’s economic strategy of liberalization imposed upon the country’s poor and led by
President Zedillo and before him President Salinas de Gortari. There has been a growing out-migration of environmentally
induced migrants from the arid northern region, already estimated by the mid 1990s at 900,000 per year.2 When Washington
decides to include environmentally motivated migration as a factor in its migratory policy, it might first address it in
regards to Mexico, due to the latter’s status as the largest immigration feeder country into the United States. This may
set a precedent for how the issue is approached in the rest of the Western hemisphere.
This analysis was prepared by By COHA Research Fellow Alexandra Deprez
ENDS