Cablegate: Seoul - Press Bulletin; December 2, 2009

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UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 03 SEOUL 001894

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PREL PGOV MARR ECON KPAO KS US
SUBJECT: SEOUL - PRESS BULLETIN; December 2, 2009

TOP HEADLINES
-------------

Chosun Ilbo
All-out ROKG Pressure on Public Sector Labor Unions; Police Raid
Railway, Civil Servants Union Offices,
Seek to Arrest Leaders

JoongAng Ilbo, Segye Ilbo, Seoul Shinmun
Rail Strike is Declared Illegal

Dong-a Ilbo
N. Korea's Currency Reform Sparks Chaos;
Business Transactions Practically Come to a Halt

Hankook Ilbo
U.S. to Send 34,000 More Troops to Afghanistan

Hankyoreh Shinmun
Lee Myung-bak Administration Cracking Down
on Public Sector Labor Unions

INTERNATIONAL NEWS
------------------

President Barack Obama will announce his new Afghan strategy today
which calls for sending 30,000 to 35,000 more U.S. troops to
Afghanistan. (All)

Many security experts, however, view President Obama's decision with
skepticism or outright opposition, calling it a "historical
mistake." (Chosun)

According to China's state-run Xinhua News Agency, North Korea
yesterday informed foreign diplomats in the capital Pyongyang that
its old currency will no longer be used and that the old bills will
be exchanged for new ones between Nov. 30 and Dec. 6. (Chosun,
Segye)

MEDIA ANALYSIS
--------------

-President Obama's speech on Afghanistan
-----------------------------------------
All ROK media led their international news section with a report on
President Obama's upcoming speech on Afghanistan.

Conservative Chosun Ilbo noted that this is the second increase
following the 21,000 additional troops President Obama dispatched
earlier this year, and commented: "President Obama is also calling
for 5,000 to 6,000 more troops from NATO countries other than
Britain. However, no country except Britain, which promised 500 new
U.K. troops to the war zone, is willing to accept his request. ...
There are (also) many security experts who firmly believe that
President Obama's Afghan war plan is a "historical mistake."

Right-of-center JoongAng Ilbo wrote in the headline: "Obama to Send
34,000 More Troops...Obama's Afghan 'Gambit;' 'Don't Repeat Vietnam
in Afghanistan' More Troops, More Quickly." Moderate Hankook Ilbo's
headline read: "(Obama) Stresses Troop Increase for Withdrawal...
'Exit Strategy' to Allay Negative Perceptions"

Left-leaning Hankyoreh Shinmun editorialized: "President Obama's
choice is unrealistic and lacks justification. ... The
indiscriminate U.S. military campaign in Afghanistan has bred
Taliban forces and turned all Afghan people into an enemy. In
particular, by supporting a corrupt local government and playing it
off against resisting forces, the U.S. is making the Afghan war into
a second Vietnam War. Isn't this why Karl Eikenberry, a retired
U.S. Lieutenant-General and current U.S. Ambassador to Afghanistan,

SEOUL 00001894 002 OF 003

publicly said that troop increases will only invite resistance from
Afghans and that civilian workers should be dispatched instead? ...
The ROKG should reconsider its plan to redeploy Korean troops to the
war torn country."

OPINIONS/EDITORIALS
-------------------

U.S. ANNOUNCES ADDITIONAL TROOP DEPLOYMENT AND ROK'S DECISION ON
REDEPLOYMENT REMAINS CONTROVERSIAL
(Munhwa Ilbo, December 2, Page 39)

On December 2, U.S. President Obama delivered a speech to the U.S.
public on his plan for Afghanistan for the first time since taking
office. In the speech, President Obama announced that the U.S. will
send additional troops to Afghanistan, adding, "After 18 months, our
troops will begin to come home." It is noteworthy that President
Obama chose to make his speech at the U.S. Military Academy at West
Point. He reaffirmed his commitment to putting an end to the Afghan
war which was initiated shortly after the September 11 terror
attacks.

It seems that President Obama has staked his political career on the
Afghan war. In particular, he may want to be reelected in 2012 by
bringing the Afghan war to a successful conclusion. But the (U.S.)
Democratic Party and a significant number of Americans are still
staunchly opposed to additional troop deployment, citing the
(tremendous) cost of the war. However, North Atlantic Treaty
Organization (NATO) member countries are expected to fall in step
with Obama's new Afghan strategy by pledging to increase their troop
levels in Afghanistan. In laying out his Afghan strategy, Obama
said that the additional troop dispatch will benefit the national
interest of the U.S. and promote the great cause of world peace.

The ROKG has also publicly said at home and abroad that it will
expand the Provincial Reconstruction Team (PRT) from its current 25
members to 120 or 130 members and send 300 to 400 troops to protect
the team; the Administration plans to submit the troop dispatch bill
to the National Assembly this year. The bill is likely to face
strong opposition, however, because the opposition (ROK) Democratic
Party officially decided on November 24 to oppose any redeployment
of troops. In 2007, when the Democratic government was in power, 23
aid workers from an ROK church were abducted by a terrorist group in
Afghanistan and two of them were killed, prompting the Roh Moo-hyun
Administration to withdraw ROK troops from the nation in violation
of the international agreement of "no negotiations with a terrorist
group." We expect that the ROK's assistance to Afghanistan this
time will become an opportunity to correct such error and restore
our national dignity. We also hope that the Democratic Party will
change its stance in a more forward-looking manner.

On November 25, the ROK joined the Development Assistance Committee
(DAC) of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development
(OECD) and, this year, the nation is expected to become the world's
ninth largest exporter, according to the volume of exports In less
than a year we will host the G20 summit. We believe that, in order
to raise its international standing, the ROK should also assume its
share of the burden to provide aid to Afghanistan, in both its
quality and quantity.

OBAMA'S WRONG AFGHAN STRATEGY AND ROK'S CHOICE
(Hankyoreh Shinmun, December 2, 2009, Page 31)

U.S. President Barack Obama has decided that the final step in the
U.S.'s Afghanistan strategy will be to greatly increase the number
of troops in the country. Having given serious thought to several
options, Obama has decided on a new strategy that would reinforce
troop strength in the country by (an additional) 34,000 troops, and
informed relevant nations of this yesterday. (In the debate)
between the hard-line faction in the U.S, centered in the military,
that called for an increase in military intervention, and the
moderates, represented by the U.S. Ambassador to Afghanistan, that

SEOUL 00001894 003 OF 003

called for boosting civilian cooperation (in lieu of sending in
additional troops), the hard-liners won in the end.

President Obama's choice is unrealistic and lacks justification.
Historically, although Afghanistan has been invaded several times by
major powers like Great Britain and the Soviet Union, it has never
surrendered. The U.S. likewise has been waging war for eight years
after attacking the country to punish al-Qaida and the Taliban
government following the terrorist attacks of Sept 11, 2001. It has
yet been able to mop up al-Qaida and instead has simply transformed
the entire country into a war zone. The indiscriminate U.S.
military campaign in Afghanistan has bred Taliban forces and turned
all Afghan people into an enemy. In particular, by supporting a
corrupt local government and playing it off against resisting
forces, the U.S. is making the Afghan war into a second Vietnam War.
Isn't this why Karl Eikenberry, a retired U.S. Lieutenant-General
and current U.S. Ambassador to Afghanistan, publicly said that troop
increases will only invite resistance from Afghans and that civilian
workers should be dispatched instead?

U.S. allies meanwhile are showing cool responses. Only Great
Britain said it would immediately send 500 more troops, while
France, Australia and Germany have taken a negative attitude towards
boosting troop strength. Japan also said it plans to terminate its
refueling mission in the Indian Ocean, which ends in January, and
concentrate instead on giving financial aid. This is because they
believe that Obama's decision will not be able to resolve the
problems in Afghanistan. In spite of this, our government has
decided to send 130 Provincial Reconstruction Team personnel and 400
troops to protect them, and soon plans to submit a deployment
approval bill to the National Assembly. After Australia and Sweden,
this would be the largest deployment of troops by a nation without
direct interests in Afghanistan. The ROKG should reconsider its
plan to redeploy Korean troops to the war torn country.

(This is a translation provided by the newspaper, and it is
identical to the Korean version.)

STEPHENS

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