NZAS Co-Presidents Lucy Stewart and Troy Baisden have initial comments on the Budget released by the coalition
government today, expressing their concerns about the ongoing collapse in funding for the research and university
sector.
Dr Lucy Stewart comments, "Normally when assessing a Budget from the science policy perspective, we can look for bright
spots - new spending and initiatives. Analysing this year's Budget is an exercise in determining how bad the damage will
be, on the back of previously-announced cuts such as the cancellation of the Science City infrastructure programme and
the failure to renew the National Science Challenges.
There is one genuinely welcome new initiative - funding for Geonet, the National Seismic Hazard Model, and the National
Geohazards Monitoring Centre has been extended out until 2027, acknowledging the long-term nature of the funding needed
to support this vital work in our geologically active nation. However, looking out to 2027 the Budget has also forecast
a total of $35 million dollars of actual cuts to the Marsden Fund, the Health Research Fund, the Strategic Science and
Innovation Fund, and the Endeavour Fund in that year - perhaps to generously give researchers three years to find new
jobs overseas. Otherwise spending is essentially flat, in a time of record inflation and on the back of decades of
underfunding of the sector. Certainly there is no sign of anything which could come close to making up for the loss of
the National Science Challenges, which we have already seen translate into proposed job cuts in the public science
sector.
I expect to see more job losses across the sector before the end of the year. This failure to invest, at a time when the
research and science sector has struggled to do more with insufficient funding for years already, will have inevitable
consequences in loss of expertise as people move to better-funded research sectors overseas, as infrastructure continues
to fail, and as research simply does not get done."
Prof Troy Baisden adds: "Today’s budget doubles down on a pattern spanning four decades, in which New Zealand’s
governments have been world leaders in choosing not to invest in the future. Aside from 1991, I doubt there’s ever been
such a clear case that we’re determined to fall behind peer nations with our investment in research, science, innovation
and technology. The same goes for the tertiary education sector.
The budget is worse than a nothing burger for science. The relatively positive support for GeoNet and key capability GNS
Science appear to be propping up areas previously funded by the Earthquake Commission (EQC) and the National Science
Challenge on Resilience.
There are no other bale outs for areas of national importance that had been supported by National Science Challenges,
which received about $97 million per year in their peak years, with $64 million this year and no funding after next
month. There are also no new bale outs or capex support packages for the ‘Science City’ institutions in Wellington, most
notably Callaghan Innovation.
Given the composition of the coalition, farmers might have hoped for some new research, but if there is I can’t spot it.
Instead, the Ministry of Primary Industries is cutting about $4.6 million per year from its Sustainable Land Management
and Climate Change Research in coming years (a total cut of $13.6 m over 3 years).
The total lack of new funding comes on top of the inflation over the past year, and on a background of flat or
decreasing funding. Out in 2027 and beyond, there’s a plan to pare back flagship contestable research funds, including
Marsden and Endeavour by a small but significant amount.
The Table of Estimates produced with the budget also allows us to look back, from an estimate for the year just ended to
finalised funding in previous years. Funding for the entire tertiary education sector has flatlined, following the
period when Government helped stabilise the sector during the pandemic’s impacts. It seems there is no expectation of
resuming the growth rate of about 24% between 2012 and 2019.
Government research and development (R) increased even faster, but is now declining. Excluding the R Tax Incentive and similar categories, our investment appears to have increased from about $820 million in 2015 to $1.4
billion or more in 2020 and 2021, falling back to $1.15 in recent years before stabilising at $1.1 billion.
This explains why times feel tight in parts of the sector doing well, and desperate in others. That should come as no
surprise, as cabinet papers from 2021 to the present have expressed a lack of confidence and sought reforms, which will
now extend in the university sector.
The pressure is on Sir Peter Gluckman, leading two advisory groups which must make a case for the reforms to help us
rebuild the mojo that drives investment and success across the science system and universities. The groups will need to
provide vision and hope for science and technology to address our biggest challenges with effective strategies in areas
such as primary industries, and coping with climate change and hazards. Peer nations are investing more and more, and we
should as well."