The Greens are relatively static on 12.5% (-0.2 points) while ACT drops marginally to 9.1% (-0.6 points).
New Zealand First is up 1.7 points to 7.3% while Te Pāti Māori is down 0.5 points to 3.5%.
For the minor parties, TOP is on 2.4% (+1.6 points), Outdoors & Freedom is on 1.0% (-0.3 points), and the combined total for all other parties is 0.8%.
National is up three seats on last month to 47 while Labour is down three seats to 33.
The Greens are unchanged on 16 while ACT is down one on last month to 11 seats.
New Zealand First is up two seats on last month to nine while Te Pāti Māori is unchanged on six.
The combined projected seats for the Centre-Right of 67 is up four on last month. The combined seats for the Centre-Left
is down three to 55.
On these numbers, National and ACT would require the support of NZ First to form a government.
This calculation assumes that all electorate seats are held. A Parliament on these figures would have an overhang of two
seats and a total of 122 seats.
NOTES:
The scientific poll was conducted by Curia Market Research and commissioned by the New Zealand Taxpayers’ Union. The full polling report is being released exclusively to members of our Taxpayer Caucus. As is well known, but for full disclosure, David Farrar co-founded the Taxpayers' Union and previously served on its board. He is also a Director of Curia Market Research Ltd.