Do people who live in regions of lower seismic activity in Aotearoa New Zealand think about and prepare well for
earthquakes in their regions?
A research project funded by Toka Tū Ake EQC will provide a better understanding about what influences those people who
live in regions of comparatively lower - but still significant - seismic risk, and how they think and act.
The research is focusing on two lower seismic regions: Tāmaki Makaurau (Auckland) and Te Tai Tokerau (Northland). The
results will provide insights about how people perceive, and prepare or don’t prepare, for earthquake activity in low
seismic zones.
Dr Lauren Vinnell, from the Joint Centre of Disaster Research at Massey University, will lead the project to identify
which factors affect perceptions in these regions, so that public education messages can be adjusted to help people be
more informed and prepared.
The first part of the project is a survey on current earthquake awareness and preparedness in the two regions, which has
been released this week. People in the Tāmaki Makaurau (Auckland) and Te Tai Tokerau (Northland) regions are invited to
participate in the survey by clicking here: https://bit.ly/NaturalHazardSurvey2023
Once the results are in, the researchers will work with key local people, including councils, emergency management, iwi
and local Pasifika groups, to hold community focus groups to understand some of the issues identified in the survey.
“We hope this research will help teams such as those in local emergency management in Tāmaki Makaurau and Te Tai
Tokerau, who are already doing the work to get their communities more prepared for earthquakes, and increase the impact
of their work,” says Dr Vinnell, who is an Emergency Management Lecturer at Massey University.
“We’re also excited to share our findings with those communities who contribute to the research, to make our research
participation more reciprocal.”
In the past, research has looked at perceptions and preparation for separate natural hazards, but it has not given a
clear understanding about the link between how people’s perceptions of multi-hazard contexts affect how much they might
prepare for those risks.
“Some research has shown the influence of different likelihoods of a risk between where a person lives and in other
parts of the country, while other evidence demonstrates how people think about and act on a risk is influenced by the
other risks they face,” says Vinnell.
This work aligns with the Toka Tū Ake EQC vision of increasing understanding of natural hazard risk to improve
resilience. Toka Tū Ake Head of Research Dr Natalie Balfour says the research will have new and important implications
for how we communicate natural hazard risk generally, both here and internationally, and will be useful for researchers
and practitioners working on similar challenges.
“Part of creating understanding of the natural hazards we face is knowing more about peoples’ perceptions of these
hazards. Sharing that knowledge with others helps to inform decisions around reducing natural hazard risk and increasing
resilience,” Dr Balfour says.
Identifying factors of influence and motivation will help with changes or improvements to existing efforts to encourage
people in lower seismic hazard zones to prepare for earthquakes so when people in these areas experience an earthquake,
they are less likely to be injured or suffer loss.
“By understanding what is currently influencing or stopping people from preparing, we can tailor how we communicate to
them so that they feel informed and empowered to prepare,” says Dr Vinnell.
The insights into perceptions and preparation for seismic risk in these two regions will also benefit people living in
other parts of Aotearoa, and beyond, who also face lower (but still significant) earthquake risks.