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Monthly Economic Indicators report for February 2018

Monthly Economic Indicators report for February 2018


The Treasury has published its Monthly Economic Indicators (MEI) report for February 2018. The report can be found here: http://bit.ly/2tdSWaZ

Key points:

• The unemployment rate fell to 4.5% in December, and wage measures were mixed, with annual Quarterly Employment Survey (QES) growth of 3.1%, but Labour Cost Index (LCI) growth unchanged at 1.8%
• House prices and sales volumes both increased in January
• Consumption indicators were positive: for the December quarter retail sales volumes rose 1.7% (sa), and in January electronic cards spending rose 1.4% (sa)
• Global 10-year bond yields pushed higher in February as analysts expect a faster pace of tightening of monetary policy in 2018

This month’s MEI special topic covers estimation of the Natural Rate of Unemployment.

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