INDEPENDENT NEWS

New Zealanders say North Korea will use a nuclear weapon

Published: Fri 13 Oct 2017 09:53 AM
Thursday, 12 October 2017
New Zealanders say North Korea will use a nuclear weapon
A special Roy Morgan SMS Survey taken in late September, after the New Zealand Election, shows a majority (58%) of New Zealanders saying it is either ‘Very likely’ (19%) or ‘Fairly likely’ (39%) that North Korea will use a nuclear weapon compared to 42% that say it is ‘Fairly unlikely’ (31%) or ‘Very unlikely’ (11%).
These figures are a reverse of the Australian result surveyed in mid-September which showed 51% of Australians believe it is ‘Fairly/Very unlikely’ North Korea will use a nuclear weapon compared to 49% of Australians that say it is ‘Fairly/Very likely’.
The majority of New Zealanders (78%) want the opposing sides in the North Korean stand-off to reach a peaceful diplomatic solution,a similar result to Australia, and only 22% believe a peaceful diplomatic solution isn’t working and a military one is needed.
This special Roy Morgan SMS Survey was conducted in late September with a cross-section of 1,888 New Zealanders aged 18+.
Questions: “In your opinion how likely is it that North Korea will use a nuclear weapon?” and respondents were then asked “Which of these two options would you support with regards to North Korea and their ongoing nuclear and missile tests. Continue to try to reach a peaceful diplomatic solution or a peaceful diplomatic solution is not working; a military one is needed?”
Analysis by Voting Preference: Q1 – North Korea using a nuclear weapon
Analysing the results by voting preference shows a majority of supporters of the major parties National, Labour and New Zealand First think it likely North Korea will use a nuclear weapon whereas a slight majority of Greens supporters think it is unlikely. Total
NZElectorsLabourNationalNZ FirstGreensOtherCan’t sayNon
ElectorsTotal
Australia %%%%%%%%%%Very likely19192815161512301516Fairly likely39383145443135463033Total likely58575960604647764549Fairly unlikely31333231224136213633Very unlikely11109918131731918Total unlikely42434140405453245551TOTAL100100100100100100100100100100
Q2 – Peaceful diplomatic solution or Military solution
As expected large majorities of supporters of all parties are in favour of a peaceful diplomatic solution rather than a military solution. Total
NZElectorsLabourNationalNZ FirstGreensOtherCan’t sayNon electorsTotal
Australia %%%%%%%%%%Peaceful78788075748963857981Military22222025261137152119TOTAL100100100100100100100100100100
Analysis by Gender & Age: Q1 – North Korea using a nuclear weapon
Analysis by gender shows women and men differ on the tense situation with women much more concerned than men when considering the likelihood that North Korea might use nuclear weapons than not whilst it is those aged 35-64 who are most certain North Korea will use a nuclear weapon with older and younger New Zealanders more evenly split on the question.
Total
NZGenderAgeTotal
Australia
MenWomen18-2425-3435-4950-6465+
% % % % % % % % %
Very likely 19 12 25 14 14 23 24 16 16
Fairly likely 39 30 43 38 42 40 38 37 33
Total likely584268525663625349
Fairly unlikely 31 38 29 38 33 28 28 33 33
Very unlikely 11 20 3 10 11 9 10 14 18
Total unlikely425832484437384751
TOTAL100100100100100100100100100
Q2 – Peaceful diplomatic solution or Military solution
Large majorities of both genders and all ages are in favour of a peaceful diplomatic solution rather than a military solution although it is the youngest New Zealanders, those aged 18-24, who are most pre-disposed to a potential military solution (32%).
Total
NZGenderAgeTotal
Australia
MenWomen18-2425-3435-4950-6465+
ends
Roy Morgan Research
New Zealand's leading social and market research company
A full service research organisation specialising in omnibus and syndicated data, Roy Morgan Research has over 70 years' experience in collecting objective, independent information on consumers. Roy Morgan Research was set up in New Zealand in the 1990s and has been collecting information across a wide range of industries in New Zealand ever since. Roy Morgan currently has over 10 years of trended data on a geographically and demographically representative sample of over 12,000 New Zealanders aged 14+.
Contact Roy Morgan Research
Website:
Sales Contact:
pip.elliott@roymorgan.com

Next in New Zealand politics

Poll Shows Three Quarters Of Wellingtonians Oppose Airport Sale
By: Wellington Airport
Christopher Luxon - Pre-Budget Speech To Auckland Business Chamber
By: New Zealand Government
New Zealand Supports UN Palestine Resolution
By: New Zealand Government
Greens Welcome Cross-party Approach To Climate Adaptation
By: Green Party
Climate Change – Mitigating The Risks And Costs
By: New Zealand Government
Protest March Against Fast-track Bill Announced For Auckland
By: Greenpeace
View as: DESKTOP | MOBILE © Scoop Media