Housing Minister Nick Smith: Affordable Housing a couple of decades away.
Housing Minister Nick Smith told TVNZ’s Q+A programme today that it will take up to 20 years to address the imbalance
between incomes and house prices.
“The target that I've given to my ministry goes back to those long term affordability measures - which is the ratio of
incomes to house prices. That’s what really matters. Historically that number's been about four for New Zealand.
Currently in Auckland it's seven. I've set that long term objective of getting it back to four. That means incomes are
growing faster than house prices and you need that repeatedly over a period of a decade or two to get those ratios down.
“If you look at housing ownership in New Zealand, it's been going backwards every single year since 1987. In other words
the decline in home ownership from about 75% in New Zealand back to about 65% has occurred over that period. And if
you're looking for some instant magic bullet that the government can wave and change those 20 year trends you're
mistaken. It's about doing the hard yards in those important areas I've identified.
Dr Smith also said a capital gains tax would not make any difference to the housing market.
“If we look at that comprehensive independent study that was done by the Productivity Commission, they didn’t raise
issues of foreign buyers. It wasn't mentioned in their 200 page report.”
“They did a comprehensive look at this debate around the capital gains tax and they said no it won’t make the
difference. So look across the Tasman to Australia. They’ve got restrictions on farm buyers. They’ve got a sort of a
capital gains tax of sorts and their house prices have gone up by more than New Zealand in the last 12 months.
“The government's measures that we're taking in those five key areas identified by the Productivity Commission, land
supply, materials costs, Council infrastructure costs, productivity and compliance costs – they are the bits. If you are
serious about not playing political games, but making changes that will make housing more affordable for our kids and
their kids, they are the five things to tackle.”