Q+A Panel Discussion 1 - Response to Peter Dunne Interview
Sunday 5th May, 2013
Attached is the transcript
from today’s first panel discussion.
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Q+A
PANEL
DISCUSSION 1 - in response to Peter Dunne
interview
HOSTED BY SUSAN
WOOD
SUSAN WOOD
Time
to welcome the panel. Dr Raymond Miller, from Auckland
University; Josie Pagani, former Labour Party candidate; and
the CEO of Business New Zealand Phil O’Reilly. Good
morning to you all. Rod Drury came out this week, Phil, and
said government’s IRD computer systems should be made
locally, should be done in smaller packages, I think he was
saying. Have we got the capability to do it
here?
PHIL O’REILLY, CEO of Business New
Zealand
I was talking to Naomi Ferguson just
this week, who’s the commissioner of IRD, and she’s made
a real commitment to actually trying to involve and engage
New Zealand companies, and that’s great. One of the things
you notice about systems like this is that inevitably
it’ll be a bit of a world effort. There’ll be some
companies in the United States or the UK that’ll have
particular skills. But the fact that the commissioner is
really engaging locally is going to be quite an important
piece. Bear in mind that the cost of this thing is nothing
much compared to the benefit of what New Zealand will get.
Some of the opportunities for business to reduce compliance
costs alone would blow a billion dollars out of the water
right there. So the trick is, I think, to have a debate
about what the value is to New Zealand Inc. rather than
simply saying, ‘Oh, it’s a lot of money.’ We should
think about those two
things.
SUSAN
Josie, you could argue that, actually, for computer
systems right across the government services, couldn’t
you? That there’s benefits in having efficient, up-to-date
modern technology.
JOSIE PAGANI, former
Labour Party candidate
Oh, absolutely. And, I
mean, listening to that interview, he sounds imminently
sensible, doesn’t he? And that’s the thing that Peter
Dunne has. There were some great quotes in that interview.
‘The flickering flame of liberal democracy’; the Peter
Dunne matrix, how he decides how he’s going to vote. I
often disagree with Peter politically, but you’d have to
say that he has wielded his vote and his influence
responsibly, and I think most people would look at him and
go, you know, ‘you’ve used your swing vote for an
extension of paid parental leave, for Monday-isation.
You’ve taken a considered position; you haven’t
necessarily backed the government’. And I think he
deserves respect for that.
SUSAN
Raymond, on this big IRD $1.5 billion spend, Peter Dunne
made the point that this is a long-term thing, as we know.
Now, Novopay, of course, we saw Labour started it, National
brings it in. Something like this needs a commitment of many
governments, doesn’t it, whatever colour or shade they may
be.
DR RAYMOND MILLER, Political
Scientist
It does, and I agree with Josie - I think he has
presented very credibly, because the numbers, quite frankly,
feel, to the general public, mind-boggling. People just
can’t understand why $1.5 billion. But he’s saying
it’s over a period of time. There’s going to be a review
process. And he’s holding out the hope that a lot of local
companies will be able to buy into this. So I think he’s
done it very well and said it’s over a long period of
time. It’s going to obviously be done by other governments
as well as his one. So I think it’s going to be very
credibly presented and I think it’s not going to be an
issue which is going to incite much public
debate.
SUSAN
He also talked about lessons learned, Phil, and we go
right back to the police computer- There have been plenty of
cock-ups with government computer
systems.
PHIL
In Wellington Novopay’s turned into a verb.
‘You’ve been Novopaid’. It’s crazy. And as a result,
there’s a real political desire to make sure that these
things run well, hence all of the work going on. I’m
sitting on several committees with IRD trying to work out
how we do this best, for example, so lots of consultation,
lots of consideration. This thing’s taking place over 10
years or so. That’s all not just because it’s the key
system - IRD is the thing; you need to raise tax in order to
run an effective government - but it’s also just a
reaction to all of that stuff.
SUSAN
The
future of United Future. They were a lot
bigger.
PHIL
They were. Now, he’s a political survivor. He’s been
in parliament 28 years. He was a minister under a Labour
government, then under National, then under Labour, then
under National. I mean, it’s quite remarkable, really. But
his value has been somewhat discounted of late because he is
a sole member of parliament for his party. Now, when you
have a look he has been trying to appeal to Labour voters in
his constituency by saying that he can work constructively
with Labour. He has been appealing to National voters - ‘I
can work constructively with National’ - which has worked
quite well for him in the past. But we now do see his
majority slipping quite badly. It’s 12,500, then it went
down to 1000 and now 1400. So he’s in a highly marginal
seat, and the problem for him, I think, that unlike 2002,
when he brought eight other MPs into parliament, there’s
just the one. That’s Peter Dunne. So the problem is it’s
harder for him to sell his value to either Labour or
National when it’s just
him.
JOSIE
And I think there’s a sense, isn’t there, that
he’s got principles, but how deep are they? And there’s
a feeling that, ‘I’ve got principles, but if you don’t
like these, I’ve got some others’. And there’s that
generally slightly negative feeling that if you can go with
National one day and Labour another day, how deep
do-
SUSAN
Is
that a fair criticism or is that just being pragmatic? Is
that pragmatic
politics?
RAYMOND
Well, he
is a pragmatic politician. If he were in Britain he would be
in the Liberal Democrats. He is a kind of old-fashioned
liberal politician. But on the other hand he is highly
pragmatic. He understands MMP well. His first party, United
Party, was formed in the expectation of MMP.
JOSIE
And I would say, too, that not all deals are the same. I
mean, Jessica mentioned the cup of tea - ‘will you have a
cup of tea with the prime minister next time round?’ I
mean, Peter Dunne is like Jim Anderton. He won that seat.
Jim Anderton won Wigram. Labour couldn’t win it off him,
and National probably couldn’t win it off Peter Dunne. So
they actually have a legitimate claim on that seat, unlike
John Banks or ACT Party in Epsom, where it’s basically a
National seat and National just threw the ball to them and
said, ‘Here, have it.’ So I think not all deals are the
same, and it’s worth actually looking at that and going,
you know, Peter Dunne has earned that
seat.
PHIL
I’ve
been dealing with him for 25 years now, and I think the
reason that it works for him is that he’s very
approachable, he has an excellent offsider, a guy called Rob
Eddy, who’s his senior private secretary - an outstanding
political operator. And yes, to all the points you’ve
made, he’s pragmatic, but he’s also predictable, you can
talk to him, he’s always open to a meeting, he’ll change
his view if there’s a sensible debate to be had. So he’s
the opposite to this kind of politician who says,
‘What’s in it for me?’ He’s actually a much more
reasoned sort of guy. I actually find him very very simple
to deal with, very easy to deal with, as a matter of fact,
when he was in Labour or National governments.
JOSIE
This guy’s seriously influential. I mean, he managed
to bring the global phenomena of planking to an end just by
doing it. Imagine if he- If he took up binge drinking, we
could solve teenage binge drinking. It would stop
overnight.
SUSAN
Look, here we have it. This on Back Benches. Peter Dunne
planking. (CLIP PLAYED) That was the end of it. It
was no longer
cool.
JOSIE
He will be remembered for more than that, I’m sure.
SUSAN
We
could have asked him to do it here, really, couldn’t
we?
RAYMOND
But Labour
will think they can win that seat next year. They’ll be
less inclined to do deals with Peter Dunne. But really quite
seriously, there is a need, perhaps, for a cup of tea with
the prime minister very close to the next election. In the
meantime I think it’s very important to keep his party,
his profile as high as possible with a view to pushing it up
in the poles.
JOSIE
And it’s a different kind of cup of tea. That’s my
point. I mean, he actually has a legitimate claim on that
seat.
ENDS