National Lead Labour, But Support Falls Lowest Since 2008

Wednesday, 10 October 2012, 10:31 pm
Press Release: Roy Morgan Research

NATIONAL (41.5%) LEAD OVER LABOUR (33.5%) REDUCES AGAIN.
LABOUR/GREENS/ NZ FIRST WOULD WIN AN ELECTION HELD NOW

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Finding No. 4831 - This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone with a NZ wide cross-section of 827 electors from September 24 – October 7, 2012. Of all electors surveyed 4% (down 0.5%) didn’t name a party.: October 10, 2012

Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows a fall in support for Prime Minister John Key’s National Party to 41.5% (down 2% since September 10-23, 2012) — this is the lowest support for National since John Key won Government at the 2008 New Zealand Election. Support for Key’s Coalition partners has changed with the Maori Party 1.5% (down 1%), ACT NZ 0.5% (unchanged) and United Future 0.5% (up 0.5%).

Support for Labour is 33.5% (up 0.5%); Greens are 13.5% (up 2%), New Zealand First 6.5% (up 1.5%), Mana Party 0% (down 1.5%), Conservative Party of NZ 2% (unchanged) and Others 0.5% (unchanged).
If a National Election were held today this New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll says a combined opposition of Labour/ Greens & New Zealand First would be favoured to form a new Government.
The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating is down 4pts to 106 with 44% (down 3.5%) of New Zealanders saying New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 38% (up 0.5%) that say New Zealand is ‘heading in the wrong direction’.

Gary Morgan says:
“Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows Prime Minister John Key’s National (41.5%, down 2%) falling further behind a combined Opposition of Labour (33.5%, up 0.5%); Greens (13.5%, up 2%) and New Zealand First (6.5%, up 1.5%). A total of 53.5% (up 4%).

“This is the highest share of the vote held by these three Opposition parties for six years since October 2-15, 2006 (53.5%) when Labour was in Government in coalition with NZ First.

“Also concerning for Key will be second straight fall in the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating — now at 106 (down 4pts) — and at its lowest since Key’s election in November 2008 with only 44% (down 3.5%) of New Zealanders saying New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’.”
Electors were asked: “If a New Zealand Election were held today which party would receive your party vote?”
This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone with a NZ wide cross-section of 827 electors from September 24 — October 7, 2012. Of all electors surveyed 4% (down 0.5%) didn’t name a party.

Full Tables & Details: http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2012/4831
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