Roy Morgan Poll Aug-Sept 09: Nat 56% Lab 33%

Monday, 21 September 2009, 1:10 pm
Press Release: Roy Morgan Research

New Zealand National-led Government loses ground 56% (down 4%)
But retain strong lead over Opposition Parties 44% (up 4%)
Full Release: http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2009/4417/

Finding No. 4417 - This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 854 electors from August 31 – September 13, 2009. Of all electors surveyed, 5% (up 1%) did not name a party.: September 18, 2009

The latest NZ Morgan Poll shows support for John Key’s National-led Government is 56% (down 4%) comprising National Party 51.5% (down 5%), Maori Party 2.5% (up 1%), ACT NZ 2% (up 0.5 %) according to the Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll conducted August 31 - September 13, 2009.

Support for Opposition parties is 44% (up 4%); Labour Party 33% (up 4%), Greens 7.5% (down 0.5%), NZ First 2.5% (up 1%) and the Progressive Party 0.5% (unchanged).

Despite the drop in support for the National-led Government and the increase in support for Labour, if an Election were held today the National Party would win easily.

The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating is at 143 (down 0.5 points) with 67.5% (up 2%) of New Zealanders saying New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 24.5% (up 2.5%) that say New Zealand is ‘heading in the wrong direction.’

During the same period the Roy Morgan New Zealand Consumer Confidence Rating is up 5.5pts to 120.0.

Gary Morgan says:

“The latest NZ Morgan Poll shows a slump in support for Prime Minister John Key’s National-led Government 56% (down 4%). Key’s National Party has also lost ground — 51.5%, down 5%. This is the largest fall for either Key since becoming Prime Minister nearly a year ago.

“The falls in support for National have been matched by strong rises for the main Opposition Labour Party 33.5% (up 4%). Strong media interest in the Labour Party’s Annual Conference last weekend, the first since Phil Goff became Opposition Leader after last year’s election defeat, has provided the Labour Party with some much needed public awareness — which has resulted in Labour’s jump in this week’s NZ Morgan Poll.

“Despite the drop in support for National, 67.5% (up 2%) of New Zealanders say New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’ and the jump in the Roy Morgan New Zealand Consumer Confidence Rating (up 5.5pts to 120.0) during the past two weeks suggests New Zealanders are still broadly positive.”

Electors were asked: “If an election were held today which party would receive your party vote?”

This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 854 electors from August 31 — September 13, 2009. Of all electors surveyed, 5% (up 1%) did not name a party.

See… Full Release: http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2009/4417/

© Scoop Media

Roy Morgan Research

New Zealand's leading social and market research company

A full service research organisation specialising in omnibus and syndicated data, Roy Morgan Research has over 70 years' experience in collecting objective, independent information on consumers. Roy Morgan Research was set up in New Zealand in the 1990s and has been collecting information across a wide range of industries in New Zealand ever since. Roy Morgan currently has over 10 years of trended data on a geographically and demographically representative sample of over 12,000 New Zealanders aged 14+.

Contact Roy Morgan Research

• Website - www.roymorgan.com