Political and labour violence will stalk foreign business after Marikana massacre
August 15, 2013
On 12 August, Nora Madolo was shot midmorning while walking among the community of the Marikana mine in Rustenburg,
South Africa. The killing of the union shopsteward came shortly before the tense anniversary of the Marikana mine
massacre on 16 August 2012.
Last year, the Marikana mine was the site of a violent strike. The strike escalated when police fired into thousands of
protesters, killing 34. The strike then spread to other platinum, gold and iron-ore mines, costing the key mining sector
billions of rand in revenue.
Since then, a fragile labour order exists in the mining sector. However, an even more ominous political and reputational
risk looms for foreign business in South Africa in the next few years.
Police are investigating a plot to murder parliamentary ethics committee chairman Ben Turok and the registrar of
members’ interests, Fazela Mohamed. Both are members of the committee investigating former communications minister Dina
Pule. In the North West, the African National Congress (ANC) is investigating an alleged plot to kill former premier
Thandi Modise. The politics of the ANC has become fused with intimidation and even assassinations, often factional
struggles about patronage and wealth.
As the British Economist explained on 20 October 2012, “Jobs in national and local politics provide access to public funds and cash from firms
eager to buy political influence. Because the stakes are so high, competition for power is bitter and sometimes bloody,
particularly at the local level. In the past five years over 40 politicians have been killed in KwaZulu-Natal, a
province with a history of political violence, and at least five more in Mpumalanga, a province in the north-east of the
country. The killing is often about money. Sometimes whistle-blowers are murdered to stop them revealing corruption;
sometimes rivals are disposed of.”
Under the ANC of president Jacob Zuma there have been advances in building houses for the poor and increased access to
electricity and water. However, power corrupts. And after 19 years, power in a one-party dominant state is also
corrupting democracy.
Below the surface, social tensions and factional dissent simmer. Already on 11 November 2012, The Washington Post stated:” In newspaper columns, on radio talk shows, blogs and social media, the ANC is facing a public outcry, accused
of corruption, being ineffective, wasteful and out of touch with South Africa's impoverished masses. Even prominent
anti-apartheid figures are publicly disparaging the ANC leadership, calling its credibility into question.”
Among the critics are the iconic retired Archbishop Desmond Tutu, a fervent anti-apartheid activist and Nobel Peace
Prize winner. Tutu indicated in May 2013 that he would “very sadly not be able to vote for the ANC after the way things
have gone.” As reasons, he referred to pervasive state corruption, mismanagement and the intimidation of political
opponents.
The beauty of South Africa’s landscape and the potential of its diverse economy are patently clear. However, political
intimidation and assassinations are not exactly the mainstay of democracies.
The Economist of 10 August 2013 warned against crony capitalism, citing the example of business people like Cyril Ramaphosa in South
Africa becoming too close to the ANC government. However, crony capitalism with links to political intimidation and
local assassinations are even more deadly to business reputations.
There are clear political, labour and reputational risks for the 554 major international firms in South Africa,
especially if they become too close to the ANC. As ANC factions and opponents compete, these risks are likely to
increase during the next few years.
Some of the victims of political assassinations
• Thandi Mtsweni, deputy mayor, Secunda, Mpumalanga, 2007 (shot dead by two gunmen when she arrived home with her
husband and 14-year-old son);
• Moss Phakoe, ANC councillor, Rustenburg, North West, 2009 (gunned down in his car as he came home after putting
up posters for the ANC election campaign);
• Jimmy Mtolo, local ANC leader, Durban, KwaZulu-Natal, 2009 (assailant engaged Mtolo in a conversation before
drawing a gun and firing two shots into him at close range);
• S’thembiso Cele, the chairman of the ANC Youth League in KwaZulu-Natal’s Umgababa on the south coast, 2009
(gunned down in his Nelspruit home);
• Bongani Ngcobo, ANC leader, Nongoma, KwaZulu-Natal, 2009 (shot through the window of his home);
• Jabulani Khumalo, ANC leader, Nongoma, KwaZulu-Natal, 2009 (shot outside St Benedictine Hospital where he
worked);
• Jimmy Mohlala, ANC leader, Mbombela, Mpumalanga, 2010 (Shot dead at his house after two men attacked him and his
son, who was shot in the leg);
• James Nkambule, senior ANC politician, Mpumalanga, 2010 (poisoned)
• Sammy Mpatlanyane, senior ANC politician, Mpumalanga, 2010 (shot dead in his bedroom);
• John Ndlovu, ANC politician, Thulamasha, Mpumalanga, 2011 (shot dead and body dumped 20km away);
• S’bu Sibiya, ANC regional secretary, Durban, KwaZulu-Natal, 2011 (shot dead in the driveway of his home in
Inanda);
• Wiseman Mshibe, ANC councillor, Durban, KwaZulu-Natal, 2011 (shot four times in his driveway at Congo informal
settlement in Inanda);
• Wandile Mkhize, ANC chief whip, South Coast, KwaZulu-Natal, 2012 (shot dead in a drive-by shooting near his home
in Manaba);
• Nhlakanipho Shabane, ANC member, South Coast, KwaZulu-Natal, 2012 (fatally shot with Mkhize);
• Dumisani Malunga, ANC member, South Coast, KwaZulu-Natal, 2012 (ambushed and shot dead while travelling in a
car);
• Bheki Chiliza, ANC member, South Coast, KwaZulu-Natal, 2012 (ambushed and shot dead with Malunga).
• Mthembeni Shezi, ANC councillor, Durban, KwaZulu-Natal, 2012 (died in a hail of bullets fired on an ANC meeting,
two other ANC members were critically wounded);
• David Mosiane Chika, ANC Leader, North West 2012 (shot in the stomach outside his home);
• S’bu Majola, ANC branch chairperson, Wembezi, Estcourt, 2013 (shot dead); and
• Nkululeko Gwala, ANC member, Cato Crest, Durban, KwaZulu-Natal, 2013 (shot dead in a hail of 12 bullets).
This list is not exhaustive; the full body count runs to a greater length.
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Dr. Heinrich Matthee is a Europe-based political risk analyst and a Research Associate, Free State University, SA.