Stopping Pakistan Drone Strikes Suddenly Plausible
by Robert Naiman,
t r u t h o u t | Perspective
Predator drone attacks, by aircraft such as the one pictured here, have been an increasingly destabilizing force in
Pakistan.
Until this week, it seemed like the conventional wisdom in Washington was that stopping US drone strikes in Pakistan
was outside the bounds of respectable discussion.
That just changed. Or it should have.
Writing in The Los Angeles Times, Doyle McManus notes that counterinsurgency guru David Kilcullen has told Congress that US drone strikes in Pakistan
are backfiring and should be stopped. Until now, Congress has been reluctant to challenge the drone strikes, as they are
reluctant in general to challenge "military strategy," even when it appears to be causing terrible harm. But as McManus
notes, Kilcullen has unimpeachable Pentagon credentials. He served as a top adviser in Iraq to General Petraeus on
counterinsurgency, and is credited as having helped design the Iraq "surge." Now, anyone in Washington who wants to
challenge the drone strikes has all the political cover they could reasonably expect.
And what Kilcullen said leaves very little room for creative misinterpretation:
"Since 2006, we've killed 14 senior Al Qaeda leaders using drone strikes; in the same time period, we've killed 700
Pakistani civilians in the same area. The drone strikes are highly unpopular. They are deeply aggravating to the
population. And they've given rise to a feeling of anger that coalesces the population around the extremists and leads
to spikes of extremism.... The current path that we are on is leading us to loss of Pakistani government control over
its own population."
Presumably, causing the Pakistani government to lose "control of its own population" is not an objective of United
States foreign policy.
McManus says there's no sign that the Obama administration is taking Kilcullen's advice and the Obama administration is
unlikely to abandon "one of the few strategies that has produced results." But a Washington Post report suggests otherwise:
Although the missile attacks are privately approved by the Pakistani government, despite its public denunciations, they
are highly unpopular among the public. As Pakistan President Asif Ali Zardari's domestic problems have grown, the Obama
administration last month cut the frequency of the attacks. Some senior US officials think they have reached the point
of diminishing returns and the administration is debating the rate at which they should continue.
Since it is manifestly apparent that 1) the drone strikes are causing civilian casualties, 2) they are turning
Pakistani public opinion against their government and against the US, 3) they are recruiting more support for insurgents
and 4) even military experts think the strikes are doing more harm than good, even from the point of view of US
officials, why shouldn't they stop? Why not at least a time-out?
Why shouldn't members of Congress ask for some justification for the continuation of these strikes? The Pentagon is
asking for more money. It's time for Congress to ask some questions.
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Robert Naiman is senior policy analyst at Just Foreign Policy.