NZ Consumer Confidence Hits Nine Year High in Q4 2016
NZ Consumer Confidence Hits Nine Year High in Fourth
Quarter of 2016
• Consumer
confidence index reached 103 in Q4 2016 – the highest
since Q3 2007
• Sentiments around job
prospects and personal finances up; good time to buy things
stable
28 FEBRUARY 2017: New Zealand consumer confidence index reached 103 – the highest score in nine years (since Q3 2007 where it reached 115), according to findings from Nielsen, a leading global provider of information and insights into what consumers watch and buy. The index represents a two point increase from Q3 2016 and a four point increase from a year ago (Q4 2016).
In the latest online survey, conducted October 31 – November 18, 2016, two key drivers of New Zealand’s confidence – perceptions of local job prospects and state of personal finances - all increased from the previous quarter; while immediate spending intentions remained stable.
Positive perceptions about local job prospects over the next 12 months increased in the fourth quarter of the year. More than half of New Zealand respondents (56%) believed the job market would be good or excellent in the upcoming year, an increase of seven percentage points on Q4 2015.
Almost six-in-10 (59%) New Zealand respondents regarded their personal finances positively, an increase of two percentage points from the previous quarter and the previous year; while Kiwis’ propensity to spend remained stable at 48% in the fourth quarter of 2016 - a five percentage point increase on Q4 2015.
Nick Tuffley, ASB Bank’s Chief Economist, said, “New Zealand’s economic growth picked up a little more momentum over 2016, bringing healthy jobs growth with it, which respondents have picked up on. It is also encouraging to see that people have a more upbeat view of their future personal finances, and showed a greater preparedness in the second half of 2016 to spend cash windfalls on holidays and home renovations. This sort of big-ticket spending tends to reflect respondents’ greater confidence in their financial situation.”
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ABOUT THE NIELSEN GLOBAL
SURVEY OF CONSUMER CONFIDENCE AND SPENDING INTENTIONS
The
Nielsen Global Survey of Consumer Confidence and Spending
Intentions was conducted Oct. 31–Nov. 18, 2016, and polled
more than 30,000 online consumers in 63 countries throughout
Asia-Pacific, Europe, Latin America, the Middle East/Africa
and North America. The sample includes internet users who
agreed to participate in this survey and has quotas based on
age and sex for each country. It is weighted to be
representative of internet consumers by country. Because the
sample is based on those who agreed to participate, no
estimates of theoretical sampling error can be calculated.
However, a probability sample of equivalent size would have
a margin of error of ±0.6% at the global level. This
Nielsen survey is based only on the behaviour of respondents
with online access. Internet penetration rates vary by
country. Nielsen uses a minimum reporting standard of 60%
internet penetration or an online population of 10 million
for survey inclusion. The China Consumer Confidence Index is
compiled from a separate mixed-methodology survey among
3,500 respondents in China. The sub-Saharan African
countries in this study are compiled from a separate mobile
survey methodology among 1,600 respondents in Ghana, Kenya
and Nigeria. The Nielsen Global Survey, which includes the
Global Consumer Confidence Index, was established in
2005.
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Watch and Buy. Nielsen’s Watch segment provides media and
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across all devices where content—video, audio and
text—is consumed. The Buy segment offers consumer packaged
goods manufacturers and retailers the industry's only global
view of retail performance measurement. By integrating
information from its Watch and Buy segments and other data
sources, Nielsen provides its clients with both world-class
measurement as well as analytics that help improve
performance. Nielsen, an S&P 500 company, has operations in
over 100 countries that cover more than 90% of the world's
population. For more information, visit www.nielsen.com.