MEDIA RELEASE
Wednesday, 30 July 2014
For immediate release
Keep a close eye on farm costs, says DairyNZ
Dairy farmers should pay close attention to farm costs this season, says industry body DairyNZ, in response to the
reduced 2014/15 forecast milk price announced yesterday.
Fonterra’s forecast milk price being reduced from $7 to $6 per kgMS means volatility is part of everyday life and dairy
farmers will be conservative when making farm decisions this season.
DairyNZ economists estimate the reduced payout could cut national income by $1.8 billion this dairy season – an average
per farm loss of about $150,000 (based on 2013/14 milk production).
DairyNZ chief executive Tim Mackle says for many farmers, $6 per kgMS is a break-even payout, meaning little capital
expenditure or principal payments will take place in 2014/15.
“While it is unclear where prices could be at the end of the season, volatility requires farmers to be prepared to react
to changes quickly,” says Tim. “Now is obviously a good time to look at updating or developing a cashflow budget based
on a $6 per kgMS milk price.
“Look at where the fat can be trimmed and where efficiency gains can be made, for instance growing and utilising more
homegrown feed and looking at where supplementary feed can be reduced.”
Farmers should also look at what contingency plans are in place for a possible dry summer – perhaps early culling and
once-a-day milking, rather than supplementary feed. And with large tax bills looming from last year’s record season,
farmers should also contact their accountant to re-calculate their tax.
For more information on budgeting, visit www.dairynz.co.nz/budgets.
SIDEBAR
Regional impacts of reduced milk price
The estimated drop in farmer income ($7 down to $6 milk price)*.
Northland – $100 million
Waikato – $484 million
Bay of Plenty – $126 million
Taranaki – $183 million
Hawke’s Bay – $15 million
Manawatu – $82 million
Wairarapa/Tararua – $60 million
Canterbury – $353 million
Otago – $92 million
Southland – $218 million
New Zealand – $1.825 billion
*Based on $1 drop multiplied against estimated regional production.
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