NZ economy – sunny disposition
The BusinessNZ Planning Forecast shows the sun still shining on the New Zealand economy.
Indicators, including exports, freight movement, investment and employment, are all positive. Investment in plant,
machinery and equipment is currently at its highest ever level. The BNZ-BusinessNZ PMI and PSI are showing strong
expansion in the manufacturing and services sectors.
BusinessNZ Chief Executive Phil O’Reilly says many of the indicators, such as freight movement and investment in plant,
are forward-looking and bode well for future economic strength.
But he says there are also potential risks to the economy from over-reliance on trade with China and Australia, the
impact of interest rate rises, household and farm debt, and regulatory uncertainty.
The BusinessNZ Planning Forecast incorporates BusinessNZ’s Economic Conditions Index (ECI) which tracks 33 indicators,
including GDP, export volumes, commodity prices and inflation, debt and confidence figures.
The ECI sits at 17 for the March 2014 quarter, up 4 on the previous quarter and up 3 on a year ago.
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