While you were sleeping: Tooth fairy rally
(BusinessDesk) August 24 - Disappointing economic data was deemed positive by investors who are betting that the U.S.
central bank will have to act to prop up the sluggish pace of recovery.
In late trading, the Dow Jones industrial average climbed 1.76%, the Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose 2.02% while the Nasdaq Composite Index advanced 2.81%. Across the Atlantic, the Stoxx Europe 600
Index gained 0.8%.
With a recent string of data clearly showing that unemployment remains high, home sales stay sluggish, and manufacturers
are producing at a slow rate, investors are betting that the Federal Reserve may announce measures to help stimulate the
world’s largest economy later this week.
Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke is scheduled to speak on Friday at a Fed-sponsored conference in Wyoming attended by central
bankers from around the world.
"I don't think anybody wants to be too short or negative in front of Bernanke's speech on Friday," Jim Awad, managing
director at Zephyr Management in New York, told Reuters.
At the same time as investors’ hopes for the Fed to act are rising, Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher told an American
television interviewer that Bernanke is “not the tooth fairy”.
“His job is not to leave presents under the pillow of people who have desires that may not be easily fulfilled,” Fisher
said, according to a partial transcript provided by Fox Business Network. “Our job is to put things right in the long
term.”
Among the reports released today was the Fed Bank of Richmond’s business activity index, which fell to minus 10 in
August, the weakest since June 2009.
The monthly survey of producers in the region covering the Carolinas, Maryland, Virginia and West Virginia corroborated
factory reports from Philadelphia and New York that pointed to weakness in the industry. Also, the Commerce Department
said sales of new U.S. homes slid more than expected last month.
The latest U.S. reports came as reports showed manufacturing activity was stalling in Europe and slowing in China too
and the combined result is that it’s getting more expensive to borrow money.
Fear about European bank funding was reflected in another jump in the cost of short-term interbank dollars. Meanwhile,
the cost of U.S. banks' debt also increased in the unsecured bond markets.
Three-month dollar Libor rates rose to their highest since February at 0.31178%. The rate has been steadily increasing
since late July, and eurodollar futures point to further rises, signalling increasing costs for euro zone banks to raise
dollar funding.
A steady dive in the stock price for Bank of America in New York trading has raised the spectre that the U.S. lender
might have to raise capital at a time few investors are interested in providing it.
"I think what's driving this more than anything is that institutional investors want to hold onto cash as much as
possible, they want to stay as liquid as possible," Abdullah Karatash, head of U.S. fixed-income credit trading at
Natixis in New York, told Reuters.
"There are definitely issues in funding affecting banks across the board," he said.
(BusinessDesk)