NZers retreat from credit as they find it tough
NZers retreat from credit as they find it tough to pay
off debt
24
September 2010: Latest data from credit bureau Veda
Advantage shows market conditions are still tough with New
Zealanders continuing to retreat from credit but trying hard
to pay off debt despite tight cash flow.
The company has reviewed its data with other data available and makes the following observations:
• There has been a massive 30
percent fall in consumer credit inquiries over the last
three years
•
• As at the end of August 2010
credit inquiries were down 10.85 percent year on year but
defaults were up 8.82 percent
•
• There was a
14.94 percent increase in numbers defaulting in August 2010
compared with the same month last year
•
• Debt
is becoming harder to collect over the short term with a 66
percent drop in the collection rate for 90-day debt.
However this has improved to a 27 percent fall by 365 days.
This could indicate that consumer debtors are suffering some
cash flow crisis through events such as unemployment or
under employment or an inability to
obtain
•
• Consumers continue to turn their backs
on credit cards with inquiries down 23.95 percent compared
with August 2009
•
• Customers instead are
choosing to use debit cards which offer all the
functionality of credit cards but with access to existing
funds rather than credit
•
• August 2010
applications for hire purchase were down 6.69 percent on
August 2009 – again reflecting the demise of 83 finance
companies which have been the traditional HP
lenders.
•
• Consumers who have in the past used
HP for purchases now using personal loans with inquiries up
7.58 percent last month compared with August 2009.
•
Managing Director John Roberts says the data
“illustrates the most significant shift in consumer
attitudes to credit that New Zealand has witnessed in the
last two decades and shows the radical change in the lending
market.”
This is supported by Veda Advantage’s monitoring of 1.26 million consumer records (monitoring VedaScore Plus bureau scorecard). This shows that between the July 2009 launch and March 2010 the general population’s risk-profile fell by 12 percent (when reflected in individuals credit scores.)
“Consumer appetite for credit is down, people are moving to consolidate debt and mainstream banks are, in part, stepping into the void left by the finance companies via personal loans.”
“But at the same time the availability of credit has tightened with banks and finance companies only offering credit to low-risk applicants.”
However, the trends in the data does suggest that over time individual ability to consume and pay back credit will head back to pre-global financial crisis levels as people unwind their debt positions.
ENDS