Monday, May 22, 2006
2004 Presidential Election – Compendium of Attempts to Dismiss Vote Fraud
Contact: Kathy Dopp, kathy @ uscountvotes.org
The National Election Data Archvie publicly released a paper "2004 Presidential Election – Compendium of Attempts to
Dismiss Vote Fraud" which solidly rebuts, in 6 short pages, the academic arguments which claim to have shown that there
is no vote fraud/miscounts in U.S. elections.
The short compendium of academic attempts to dismiss vote fraud includes claims made by the Democratic National
Committee and pollster Warren Mitofsky among others:
Every argument that Mitofsky, Election Science Institute, the Democratic National Committee, and others have made which
purports that there is no evidence of vote miscount in U.S. elections is refuted in a page or less in this short
compendium by the National Election Data Archive's volunteer statisticians and mathematicians.
150 copies of this compendium were prepared for and handed out at the May 17 - 21st AAPOR conference in Montreal, in
particular during a session on "Was the 2004 Election Stolen?".
Warren Mitofsky is very well respected within AAPOR due to his past work and leadership. Consequently Mitofsky's
postion, that exit poll discrepancies were caused by partisan response bias rather than vote miscounts is given great
weight within AAPOR. However, the National Election Data Archive, describes recent Mitofsky analyses which were
presented by Mitofsky and Fritz Scheuren at recent ASA.org and AAPOR.org conferences, as "sophistry" rather than
mathematically valid analyses.
The National Election Data Archive points out that the National Election Pool (NEP) and Mitofsky have not yet released
any exit poll data or analysis publicly that supports this response bias hypothesis. Yet all the data regarding pollster
conditions which Mitofsky claims they analyzed would not pose any risk to voter confidentiality to release.
The National Election Data Archive invites everyone to read its concise paper which solidly rebuts all the arguments
made to date which claim to demonstrate a lack of evidence of vote fraud in U.S. elections.
Kathy Dopp, President of the National Election Data Archive says that "I find it harder every day to see why anyone
imagines that the U.S. vote counts are accurate when only a few states conduct any random independent audits of vote
counts to check accuracy and when every county in America without exception releases its vote count data in a manner
that covers up the evidence of tampering! (See
http://electionarchive.org/ucvAnalysis/US/election_officials/Audits_Monitoring.pdf and recent articles in the New York Times and Newsweek regarding evidence that touchscreen voting machines are
wide-open to electronic tampering.)
The creation of a National Election Data Archive is vital if we are to restore "one person, one vote" in America.
In the only two states where detailed vote count data were obtained following the November 2004 election (Washington and
New Mexico), steps have since been taken to eliminate the use of unauditable electronic voting systems and to require
voter verifiable paper ballots as a result of the obvious evidence of vote tampering that the detailed vote count data
provided. (See History of the Academic Debate: http://electionarchive.org/ucvAnalysis/US/Presidential-Election-2004.pdf)
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The National Election Data Archive, an underfunded nonprofit organization, is looking for help to obtain funding to pay
for programming staff to complete its national election data archive in time for the November 2006 elections. NEDA also
needs volunteers from every state to help obtain the detailed vote count data via open records requests, and we need
volunteer(s) immediately to write the open records request letters specific to every state's open records laws.
NEDA is a 501(c)(3) that depends on donations: http://electionarchive.org/fairelection/donate.html
Volunteers may sign up to obtain the data for their own county or state: http://electionarchive.org/fairelection/statesubscribe.html
Volunteers are also needed to complete open records requests letters for each state (yours):
The national election data archive is a tool which there is no question can be built and used to ensure that correctly
elected candidates are sworn into office. To make it happen in time for November, 2006, we need funding
now. Just $4,000/month would enable us to complete a public Internet archival tool!
Best Regards and Thanks again to donors to the National Election Data Archive who made it possible for us to attend the
Montreal AAPOR conference and to Steve Freeman and Ron Baiman for volunteering for America to present papers at the
Montreal AAPOR conference and for doing such a great job.