Tsunami Spotlights Long-Term Development Needs
Bold Action Plan to Halve Poverty by 2015 Unveiled Today Across Asia
18 January 2005, Bangkok –“Each year, half a million women die giving birth – that is the death toll from one Asian
tsunami every four months. Every year, three million people die of AIDS. That is one tsunami every three weeks. Every
year, 11 million children die of hunger and poverty-related and preventable disease. That is one tsunami every 5 days,”
said Joana Merlin-Scholtes, the Resident Representative for United Nations Development Programme in Thailand , today at
the Asia launch of The UN Millennium Project report, Investing in Development: A Practical Plan to Achieve the
Millennium Development Goals.
This ground-breaking action plan was released as the Asian tsunami disaster focuses global attention on the need, scale
and effectiveness of aid to the world’s poor. The enormously generous response to the tragedy sent a powerful message
that ordinary citizens in wealthier nations do in fact support such aid - if they clearly see the need and if they
believe the funds they provide will reach and help the people in need. The Project’s plan addresses these legitimate
concerns - and shows that targeted investments in essential public services such as health, education and infrastructure
make poor communities less vulnerable to such disasters and to the hardships of disease, hunger and environmental
degradation.
“It is of utmost importance not just to think about the immediate emergency response, but to start focusing on the
medium to long-term work of restoring livelihoods, getting people back on their feet, rebuilding social infrastructure,
rehabilitating the environment, and mitigate the impact of the tsunami on the longer-term MDGs,” said Ms.
Merlin-Scholtes. “There is a natural tendency for dramatic disasters to capture people’s attention and overshadow the
less photogenic long-term development work.”
Global Poverty-Related Deaths According to the Millennium Project Report
Relative to Current Tsunami Deaths
• 3 million people die annually from the AIDS virus – that’s the death toll from 19 Asian tsunamis.
• 10.8 million children under 5 die annually from preventable diseases – that’s the death toll from 68 Asian tsunamis.
• 2 million people die annually from malaria – that’s the death toll from 12 Asian tsunamis.
• 2.2 million people die annually from contaminated water – that’s the death toll from 14 Asian tsunamis.
• 530,000 women die annually from poor access to medical care – that’s the death toll from 4 Asian tsunamis.
“The most pressing issues facing the developing world today are poverty, hunger, disease, illiteracy, natural disaster
and civil strife. These problems are aggravated by the lack of access to education, employment, energy, food,
healthcare, sanitation, shelter and water ,” said Dato’ Ir Lee Yee-Cheong, Chair of the Millenium Project Task Force on
Science and Technology at the launch of The Millennium Project. “The big hearted global response from governments, the
rich and the poor alike, to the tsunami disaster gives us hope that our global village can and will achieve the UN
Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) that will help the same poor, starving and disadvantaged humanity over the next
decade.”
“The tsunami puts an end to the myth of aid fatigue among taxpayers and voters in rich countries,” said Ms.
Merlin-Scholtes. “We could do business as usual, with inadequate resources, poorly used development aid, and unfair
terms of trade, or, 2005 can be a turning point for long-term development investment in the form of rigorous action
taken, new resources flowing, and the world working together to make the goals in the Millennium Project a reality.”
ABOUT THE MILLENNIUM PROJECT
The Millennium Project is the most comprehensive strategy for combating global poverty, hunger and disease. A
blue-ribbon team of 265 of the world’s leading development experts have proposed a package of scores of specific
cost-effective measures that together could cut extreme poverty in half and radically improve the lives of at least one
billion people in poor developing countries by 2015.
“Until now, we did not have a concrete plan for achieving the Millennium Development Goals,” said Prof. Jeffrey D.
Sachs, the economist who directed the three-year UN Millennium Project. “The experts who contributed to this huge
undertaking have shown without a doubt that we can still meet the Goals—if we start putting this plan into action right
now.”
The Project report leads off a yearlong series of global initiatives aimed at making the Goals a reality, including a
report to UN member states from the Secretary-General in March, which will draw heavily on the Project’s
recommendations. With world leaders gathering at the G8 meeting in July and again at the UN in September to accelerate
progress towards the Goals, 2005 has become the key year for mobilizing international support for the fight against
poverty and disease, UN officials stressed.
“The Project team has given us the biggest intellectual contribution to the development debate from the UN system in at
least 20 years,” said Mark Malloch Brown, the Secretary-General’s incoming chief of staff and chairman of the United
Nations Development Group, (UNDG). The UN Development Programme (UNDP) financed and supported the project on behalf of
the UNDG partners.
“We are in a position to end extreme poverty within our generation,” Sachs said. “Not just cutting poverty in half—if we
want to eliminate extreme poverty, we can do that by 2025.”
Some Project highlights and key recommendations:
A practical plan: In 2000, world leaders met at the UN and agreed to cut extreme poverty in half by 2015. The Project’s
research shows not only that that this still can be done, but also how it can be done, in rigorous technical detail.
Affordable: In the first detailed costing exercise of its kind, the Project experts conclude that the Goals can be
achieved with an investment of just one half of one percent of the incomes of the industrialized countries—well within
the international aid targets wealthy countries have already promised to meet.
Governance matters: Policy reform at the local level and a national commitment to helping the poorest of the poor are
essential if the Goals are to be reached.
Expanded trade and private capital: These are the key to sustained growth in all developing nations—but the poorest
countries cannot take advantage of trade and investment opportunities without first getting help in building essential
public infrastructure like roads, ports, clinics and schools and raising the health and skills of the labour force
through investments in disease control, education, nutrition and job training.
Fast tracking for success: Project leaders strongly recommend that assistance be targeted immediately to countries
already recognized as both needy and able to use aid effectively, starting with “Fast Track” countries already deemed
eligible for debt relief under the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) initiative and nations singled out for help by
the US government’s new Millennium Challenge Account.
Too big for government alone: The Report argues that the challenges of growth and job creation on the one side and
service delivery to poor communities on the other require a broad partnership involving the the public sector, civil
society and the private sector. Inclusiveness is the key to success: Unless women’s groups and civil society
organizations are brought into the economic and political mainstream, the goals will remain unobtainable.
Quality aid: While an increase in the quantity of assistance is vital, better quality aid is equally important. Project
task forces lay out careful blueprints for efficient, effective investments in public health, education, and economic
development—and argue persuasively that a “front-loading” of these expenditures now will ultimately save billions of
dollars—and tens of millions of lives—over the long term.
“Quick Wins:” Developing and developed countries should immediately undertake a series of “Quick Win” actions that could
save millions of lives at modest cost, from providing free school meals and small diesel or solar power generators for
hospitals and schools to antiretroviral AIDS medicines and US$5 anti-malarial bed nets.
The Project drew on the contributions of a veritable “who’s who” of development thinkers and doers that included Ernesto
Zedillo, former President of Mexico; Mari Pangestu, Minister of Trade, Indonesia; MS Swaminathan, World Food Prize
Laureate; Amina J Ibrahim, National Coordinator for Education for All at the Federal Ministry for Education, Nigeria;
Pedro Sanchez, winner of the MacArthur Genius Award and World Food Prize laureate; Agnes Binagwaho, Executive Secretary
of the National Commission to Fight AIDS, Rwanda; Awash Teklehaimanot, Director of the Malaria Program at Columbia
University; Yolanda Kakabadse Navarro, President of the World Conservation Union; Albert M Wright, Chairman of the
Africa Water Task Force,
Yee-Cheong Lee, President of the World Federation of Engineering Organizations, and Calestous Juma, former Executive
Secretary of the UN Convention on Biological Diversity. The Project’s work includes 13 separate, extensive reports by
specialized task forces in subjects ranging from education to malaria to hunger.
The report calls for a major overhaul of the international development system, which it broadly found to be too often
unfocused and inefficient. Only about 30 cents of each dollar of international aid actually reaches on the ground
investment programs in poor countries aimed at extreme poverty, hunger and disease, the Project’s research shows. By
pooling aid and spending it locally and strategically, assistance would be more effective and less expensive, Project
experts argue. In low-income countries, only 24 percent of bilateral aid is actually available for the critically
important Millennium Development Goal investments on the ground, the authors calculate; for multilateral assistance,
they say, the figure is 54 percent—better, but still not enough.
“The question is not whether aid works,” say the authors of Investing in Development. “Ample evidence shows that it does
when it is sufficient and well directed. The problem has been how and when aid has been delivered, to which countries,
and in what amounts.”
The UN Millennium Project studied countries with high concentrations of people living in extreme poverty to determine
how much investment was needed to confront hunger, education, gender equality, health, water and sanitation, slums,
energy and roads. In low-income countries, that would mean an increase to $70-80 per capita in 2006 for investment,
rising to $120-160 per capita in 2015. Many middle-income countries will largely be able to finance these investments on
their own—though in many cases they will require adequate debt relief and specialized technical assistance. But for
poorer countries, domestic resources will not be sufficient. External financing must fill that gap.
Project leaders call for “a decade of bold action” with the following guidelines:
Developing countries should adopt ambitious national development strategies to achieve the Goals, with specific policy
reforms and detailed assessments of the required investment needs and financing options.
High-income countries must open their markets to developing country exports and should help the poorest countries to
raise export competitiveness through investments in infrastructure, trade facilitation and science and technology. The
authors strongly urge completion of the Doha Development Round by 2006.
Regional groups like the African Union should promote regional trade and cross-border infrastructure (roads, energy,
telecommunications) and strengthen environmental management; donors should increase financing of these critical regional
projects, the Project says.
The Secretary-General should strengthen coordination among UN agencies to support the Goals at the international and
country level.
To achieve the Goals, aid from industrialized countries should rise to 0.44 percent of the industrialized nations’ GNP
in 2006 and reach 0.54 percent of GNP by 2015—less than the global target 0.7 percent of GNP reaffirmed by world leaders
at the Monterrey conference on financing development in 2002.
The project’s calculations do not include many essential areas requiring assistance to developing nations outside the
framework of the Millennium Development Goals, including future major infrastructure projects, increased spending
adjustments to climate change, post-conflict reconstruction, and other geo-political priorities. Project leaders
strongly urge donor nations to make, maintain or accelerate commitments to reach the long-standing target, reaffirmed in
Monterrey in 2002 of 0.7 percent of GNP for international aid by 2015.
In absolute dollar terms, the authors urge wealthy nations to disburse $135 billion in development aid in 2006—an
increase over existing commitments of $48 billion, equivalent to about five percent of global military spending. By
2015, annual aid levels should reach $195 billion, the Project’s author’s recommend.
This additional aid should include an initial $5 billion rising to $7 billion per year by 2015 to promote science and
technology for the poor, focusing on health, agriculture, energy, environmental management, and climate research.
The UN Millennium Project supports the United Kingdom proposal for a new International Finance Facility (IFF) as the
leading proposal for a breakthrough in development financing in 2005. Designed to double development assistance between
now and 2015, the IFF would leverage additional funds from capital markets by issuing bonds backed by long-term donor
commitments to aid. But the choice of financing arrangements is for donors to make. The key issue is the speedy
availability of new resources
The Millennium Development Goals: Insurance for Global Security
“Breaking the poverty trap of the poorest countries is a matter of extreme urgency for our security,” Sachs said. “When
people lack access to food, medical care, safe drinking water, and a chance at a better future, their societies are
likely to experience instability and unrest that spills over to the rest of the world.”
Time is short, however, with only 10 years to go to meet the 2015 goals. But meeting the goals is not just a matter of
global justice and human rights, the report finds, but is essential for global security. “Poor and hungry societies are
much more likely than high-income societies to fall into conflict over scarce vital resources,” the experts contend,
adding that the Millennium Development Goals should be placed centrally in international efforts to end violent
conflict, instability, and terrorism.
The report cautions, however, for the need to spend resources effectively, and stresses that particular attention be
provided to developing countries that have shown a commitment to good governance practices and transparent budgeting.
There are dozens of low-income countries, according to the report, that have proven track records of reform and
commitment to working on behalf of the extreme poor.
“Lawless countries led by corrupt leaders are incapable of investing resources in health, education and roads,” Sachs
said. “Increased international support should go to countries that have demonstrated good governance, to countries that
are trying to open up their economies, to reform their political systems, and to combat corruption.”