INDEPENDENT NEWS

Cablegate: Darfur Security Update

Published: Sun 6 Jul 2008 06:18 AM
VZCZCXRO0333
PP RUEHGI RUEHMA RUEHROV
DE RUEHKH #0992/01 1880618
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 060618Z JUL 08
FM AMEMBASSY KHARTOUM
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 1231
INFO RUCNFUR/DARFUR COLLECTIVE
RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 0262
RHMFISS/CJTF HOA
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 KHARTOUM 000992
SENSITIVE
SIPDIS
DEPT FOR AF A/S FRAZER, AF/SPG, S/CRS, SE WILLIAMSON, AF/C, NSC FOR
BPITTMAN AND CHUDSON
DEPT PLS PASS USAID FOR AFR/SUDAN
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PREL PHUM KPKO SOCI AU UNSC SU CD
SUBJECT: DARFUR SECURITY UPDATE
1. (SBU) SUMMARY. Tensions are mounting throughout Darfur,
particularly in North Darfur, where a heightened Government of Sudan
(GoS) military presence and tightening GoS restrictions on movement
of all parties seem to signal a reassertion of GoS control over the
state, possibly in response to rebel machinations on the ground. END
SUMMARY.
GOS MILITARY EVERYWHERE
-----------------------
2. (SBU) In the late afternoon on June 27, four Sudan Armed Forces
(SAF) tanks and at least one brand-new SAF armored personnel carrier
rolled down Main Street El Fasher, knocking over road barriers and
leaving spectators speechless along the way. One tank and the APC
parked next to the SAF Western Command camp near the Wali's
(Governor's) office, while two other tanks parked directly in the
central market area. This display came on the heels of an increased
visible presence of armed SAF and GoS police in technicals around
town and an increased number of overflights by helicopter gunships.
In the evening of June 28, FieldOffs heard exchanges of artillery
fire from the west of El Fasher (in the direction of Abu Shouk IDP
camp and a SAF military base).
3. (SBU) In all of these instances, local officials came off as
cagey at best when addressing them. One National Intelligence
Security Services officer laughed that "everything happens on a
Friday" when asked about the presence of the tanks in El Fasher. He
claimed that they were just simply a show of force (although he
stopped short of saying a show of force against what threat, when
pushed by FieldOff). The same NISS officer feigned ignorance of the
artillery fire incident, leaving the room to go consult with other
officers and even making a call to Military Intelligence in front of
FieldOffs to find out more information, but later still provided no
explanation.
4. (SBU) Local explanations for these displays vary. Most El Fasher
residents suspect that the June 27 tank parade was in response to
rumors of another janjaweed uprising due to unpaid salaries. Rebels
claim that the GoS was concerned by reports that Minni Minawi had
been moving at roughly the same time from Chad through North Darfur
to Dar Al Salaam, south of El Fasher, and that Minni was doing so
with Justice and Equality Movement escort [NOTE: One JEM contact
bragged that it was common knowledge that every time a SAF gunship
overflew El Fasher, it was in direct response to reports that JEM
were in the region. END NOTE]. Cell phone networks for the past
week have been down, save for local calls, usually a harbinger of
some type of security incident.
UNAMID MOVEMENT RESTRICTED
--------------------------
5. (SBU) On June 29 the United Nations-African Union Mission in
Darfur (UNAMID) reported that members of the Sudan Liberation Army
of Minni Minawi (SLA/MM) threatened UNAMID after an UNAMID APC
injured a pedestrian near Zam Zam IDP camp. SLA/MM demanded $1000
in compensation for the injury, which UNAMID did not pay, and UNAMID
J3 warned at this time for the Mission to take this threat
seriously. The Mission, however, did not heed this warning. At
approximately 1000 on June 30 six armed SLA/MM members stopped a
38-person UNAMID patrol in Zam Zam (consisting of at least 12 police
officers, 12 military and five language assistants) and subjected it
to five hours of negotiation before it was released. UNAMID J2
accused SLA/MM of acting with impunity, "like it used to during the
days of AMIS." J3 added that GoS police were investigating the
incident but that SLA/MM was refusing any legal process and
insisting on immediate compensation.
6. (SBU) UNAMID Deputy Joint Special Representative issued a
statement on July 1 condemning the incident, and media reports
billed it as a hostage situation. The Deputy Force Commander (D/FC)
reportedly vehemently denied this label in an UNAMID meeting on July
2. He reportedly asked his staff from where the word "hostage" had
come in relation to this incident, since in his estimation and
experience, there was no way a six-man group could overtake a. armed
38-urSoo0ratsoln "J: ffacEr admhtp%l'Tdat@MMQRunacceptable for
anyone in UNAMID to declare places "no-go zones" if they fell into
UNAMID's Area of Responsibility.
7. (SBU) It is not just the armed Darfur movements that have been
restricting UNAMID's movement; the GoS has been doing so as well, in
apparent violation of the Status of Forces Agreement (SOFA) it
signed with UNAMID in February. According to UNAMID J2, on July 1
at approximately 1000h near Sheiria, South Darfur (northeast of
KHARTOUM 00000992 002 OF 002
Nyala), a UNAMID confidence-building patrol, which had been
dispatched to verify intertribal fighting in the area, met with
violent resistance at a checkpoint from the SAF, which apparently
did not want the team poking around the area. J2 confirmed that the
SAF fired warning shots at the UNAMID patrol. There were also
reportedly Arab militias in the area. The D/FC is still trying to
confirm with Sector South what happened, and the CFC said it would
investigate.
8. (SBU) In another apparent SOFA violation in South Darfur, the SAF
reportedly denied a UNAMID patrol access to the villages of Um
Dofoto and Gandi (50km west of Nyala, South Darfur), all inhabited
by the Arab Tarjem tribe, which has been involved in violent clashes
with the Benihalba Arab tribe over the past week. These two
villages, as well as a third called Bulbul Dala Angara, were
attacked on June 27 by the Benihalba in retaliation for a June 26
attack by the Tarjem on the Benihalba village of Hireiz, an attack
which killed four farmers. In the June 27 retaliation, 60 Tarjem
tribespeople were reportedly killed and seven Benihalba injured. On
June 29 the Commissioner of Nomad Regulation Committee was killed in
the crossfire of Benihalba-Tarjem fighting in Dandura. Fighting in
Gandi (where UNAMID was denied access) continued July 1 with heavy
casualties reported by both sides. There are reports of movement of
the Tarjem from Dandura and Gandi to Abu Zazur and Edd al Fursan as
a result of the fighting, and the GoS declared the region a
"military operation area," dispatching police and army forces on
July 1. There are reports of clashes between the GoS and the
Benihalba militia, which resulted in casualties on both sides and
which no doubt led to the SAF's continued resistance to UNAMID
patrols in the region. Benihalba have reportedly threatened to kill
the Governor of South Darfur state, causing him to flee temporarily
to Khartoum.
MOVEMENT RESTRICTIONS FOR EVERYONE ELSE
---------------------------------------
9. (SBU) Following the June 30 crash of an IL-76 near Khartoum and
the subsequent sacking of the Civil Aviation Authority Chief, all
IL-76 and Antonov planes were grounded in Sudan, dealing a major
blow to PAE in Darfur, the majority of whose air fleet is comprised
of these types of Russian-made planes, now reportedly leased by
Ukranian companies. Commercial flights from Khartoum to El Fasher
were closed to non-Sudanese passengers on July 4, with authorities
demanding paperwork from passengers which only two days before it
had not. This ban presents a major operational challenge to PAE,
which needs to fly its aircraft to bring in equipment for UNAMID
construction. The ban also presents a major challenge to all
residents living and working in Darfur who need to return to
Khartoum and vice versa. As of July 4, UNAMID and UN agencies are
still flying their aircraft, although for how long remains anyone's
guess. Sudanese Military Intelligence (DMI) also refused to allow a
USAID chartered flight, which included CDA Fernandez, to go to
Darfur on June 29, despite the flight and its passengers having
secured permission from the Foreign Ministry and NISS (DMI may have
feared Charge was going to meet in the field with Minnawi and his
troops).
COMMENT
-------
10. (SBU) The two trends to watch closely in the coming weeks are
the apparent SOFA violations, as UNAMID must speak out and demand to
have free access across Darfur, and more importantly the apparent
coordination that may be occurring between JEM and SLM/MM. If this
extends to SLA/U as well, even a loose Zaghawa security alliance
would pose a very serious threat to the regime, and would likely be
met with a strong reaction. Violence among Arab tribes also bears
watching as they turn on each other and, increasingly, on
authorities sent from Khartoum.
FERNANDEZ
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