INDEPENDENT NEWS

Cablegate: Heavy Fighting Between Spla and Saf in Abyei

Published: Wed 14 May 2008 04:56 PM
VZCZCXRO4425
OO RUEHROV
DE RUEHKH #0737 1351656
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O 141656Z MAY 08
FM AMEMBASSY KHARTOUM
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 0820
RUCNIAD/IGAD COLLECTIVE
RHMFISS/CJTF HOA
UNCLAS KHARTOUM 000737
DEPT FOR AF/SPG, A/S FRAZER, SE WILLIAMSON
NSC FOR HUDSON AND PITTMAN
DEPT PLS PASS USAID FOR AFR/SUDAN
ADDIS ABABA ALSO FOR USAU
SENSITIVE
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PREL PREF EAID MOPS KPKO SU
SUBJECT: HEAVY FIGHTING BETWEEN SPLA AND SAF IN ABYEI
1. (SBU) Summary: Heavy fighting has broken out and continues
between SPLA and SAF forces in the town of Abyei, despite UNMIS
efforts to broker a ceasefire. With both the NCP and SPLM
distracted by other crises, the UN is concerned that the situation
could deteriorate further if the fighting spreads to units located
around the town. The majority of the town's population has fled the
fighting and some NGO international staff are trapped in their
compounds by the fighting. End summary.
SAF-SPLA Battle in Abyei
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2. (SBU) Heavy fighting is taking place between SAF and SPLA forces
in the disputed town of Abyei. The UN is concerned that the already
serious situation could easily escalate, given the near proximity of
additional SPLA and SAF units that could enter the town and join the
fight. The fighting reportedly began late May 13 with an impromptu
clash at an SPLM police post. The circumstances of the initial
clash remain murky at this time, but both SPLA and SAF units quickly
became involved and the fighting continued into May 14 and
intensified. Following a lull on Wednesday afternoon, it resumed,
reportedly involving the use of weapons as heavy as mortars and
RPGs. In spite of a meeting arranged by UNMIS between the two sides
to discuss a ceasefire fighting has continued. Most of the SPLM's
leadership in the area is in Juba for the National Convention,
including SPLM Rep Edward Lino.
Civilians Flee, NGOs Trapped
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3. According to UN sources in Abyei reports that 30,000 people,
the bulk of the town's population, have fled into the surrounding
countryside. The UN is attempting to organize an emergency relief
effort to support this new wave of IDPs. Late May 14, UNMIS was in
the process of evacuating NGO international staff to Kadugli via
helicopter. International staff of two NGOs, GOAL International and
Save the Children, reportedly were unable to reach the UNMIS
compound and were forced to return to their own locations, where
they remain. UNMIS security in Abyei is attempting to devise a plan
to extract both groups to the UNMIS compound in order to fly them
out.
4. (SBU) According to the UN official, efforts to mediate a
ceasefire have been hampered by the absence of senior SPLM/SPLA
leadership from Abyei to whom they could reach out. SPLM
Administrator Edward Lino is in Juba to attend the SPLM national
convention there. The senior, and much respected, SPLA commander of
the local Joint Integrated Unit (JIU) also is absent.
5. (SBU) In a meeting with ConGen Juba staff, Edward Lino
corroborated much of the UN's account. He said that fighting is
between SAF and SPLA security and that more SPLA are likely to join
the fighting. He confirmed that large numbers of civilians (he said
50,000) have fled the fighting. Embassy and Consulate Juba are
seeking to reach out to both the GNU/SAF and SPLM/SPLA to calm the
situation and try to halt the fighting. CDA Fernandez spoke to MFA
U/S Mutriff Siddiq the evening of May 14 about the clashes. The NCP
is also distracted with their focus on the aftermath of the JEM
rebel group's attack on the capital and confrontation with Chad.
Siddiq promised to alert colleagues in the regime to exercise
restraint.
Comment
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6. (SBU) Given the support that the SPLA provided Khartoum during
the JEM raid on Omdurman a few days ago, and the NCP's effusive
gratitude as a result, this outbreak of fighting appears to have
been the result of an unintended clash, rather than anything
calculated. As we have reported previously, the tensions inherent
in the situation and SPLM-NCP brinksmanship have made Abyei a
disaster waiting to happen. All it took was a spark to ignite a
possible conflagration.
FERNANDEZ
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