INDEPENDENT NEWS

Cablegate: Daily Summary of Japanese Press 06/21/07

Published: Thu 21 Jun 2007 08:23 AM
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DEPT FOR E, P, EB, EAP/J, EAP/P, EAP/PD, PA
WHITE HOUSE/NSC/NEC; JUSTICE FOR STU CHEMTOB IN ANTI-TRUST DIVISION;
TREASURY/OASIA/IMI/JAPAN; DEPT PASS USTR/PUBLIC AFFAIRS OFFICE;
SECDEF FOR JCS-J-5/JAPAN,
DASD/ISA/EAPR/JAPAN; DEPT PASS ELECTRONICALLY TO USDA
FAS/ITP FOR SCHROETER; PACOM HONOLULU FOR PUBLIC DIPLOMACY ADVISOR;
CINCPAC FLT/PA/ COMNAVFORJAPAN/PA.
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: OIIP KMDR KPAO PGOV PINR ECON ELAB JA
SUBJECT: DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 06/21/07
INDEX:
(1) US-oriented ASDF Iraq mission to be extended without fully
disclosing information
(2) Hard to understand opposition: Maher
(3) Yonaguni Town Assembly rejects petition opposing US
minesweepers' visit
(4) Serious discord between Abe, Upper House chairman Aoki over
civil service reform legislation
(5) Roundtable among veteran reporters on future of Abe
administration
(6) Why is the US House resolution on the war comfort-women issue
about to be passed?
(7) Interim settlement of account on Abe administration - part 5:
Structural reforms without sacred areas; 3 % spending cut policy
eliminated from big-boned economic guidelines; Too many budget
requests reinstated due to pressure from government agencies
ARTICLES:
(1) US-oriented ASDF Iraq mission to be extended without fully
disclosing information
MAINICHI (Page 3) (Excerpts)
June 21, 2007
The bill amending the Iraq Special Measures Law cleared the Diet
yesterday, enabling the Air Self-Defense Force to extend its airlift
activities in the country for up to two years from August. Chief
Cabinet Secretary Yasuhisa Shiozaki played up Japan's determination
to continue assisting Iraq's reconstruction efforts. Contrary to his
words, Japan's assistance is focused on the United States rather
than on Iraq, as seen from the fact that the ASDF has been
transporting supplies mostly for the US-led coalition forces since
the Ground Self-Defense Force left Iraq last July. There are strong
concerns about the government extending the ASDF's highly dangerous
mission without fully disclosing the details of their activities.
"If something goes wrong, a life-threatening situation can result
in. It's like working on a razor blade." Defense Minister Fumio
Kyuma described the ASDF's activities using C-130 transport planes
this way on June 5 before the Upper House Foreign Affairs and
Defense Committee.
In 2005, the British force's C-130 Hercules crashed outside Baghdad
following what appeared to be a missile attack by enemy forces,
killing all 10 military personnel on board.
This was followed by the government's decision to force ASDF planes
to take sharp descents and ascents when using Iraqi airports and
equip them with reinforced fuel tanks and flares against missile
tracking. Those steps do not guarantee their safety, however.
Since the GSDF left Iraq, the ASDF's area of transport has expanded
to cover Al Airport to Baghdad to Arbil. "When warfare occurs under
a flight path, ASDF aircraft are forced to fly in a combat zone,"
TOKYO 00002813 002 OF 011
said Kyuma before the Upper House Foreign Affairs and Defense
Committee on June 19. The mission now carries a greater risk.
The total death toll of 18 countries of all nations that have sent
troops to Iraq now stands at 128, excluding the United States and
Britain. "It has been sheer luck that no one in the ASDF has been
killed," a senior Defense Ministry official explained.
According to the Defense Ministry, the ASDF has made 518 flights,
transporting 46.5 tons of supplies, since last July. They were
mostly for the US-led coalition forces, with flights for the United
Nations accounting only for 25 (between last September and this
March).
The Bush administration has given high marks to the ASDF's airlift
mission in Iraq against the backdrop of many US allies, including
Britain and South Korea, making preparations for leaving Iraq. A
protracted deployment of US troops in Iraq is certain to give rise
to strong calls in Washington for the ASDF's continued activities in
the country, making it difficult for Tokyo to devise an exit
strategy.
Kyuma gave up on visiting Iraq for security reasons
Masaya Oikawa, Washington
Defense Minister Fumio Kyuma secretly studied the possibility of
visiting Iraq in late June but gave it up for security reasons,
sources said on June 20. Kyuma informally asked the United States
for protection but Washington reacted negatively, citing frequent
terrorist attacks on prominent figures.
(2) Hard to understand opposition: Maher
RYUKYU SHIMPO (Page 2) (Full)
June 20, 2007
YONAGUNI-US Naval Forces Japan is planning to have two minesweepers
make a port call at the island of Yonagunijima. On this plan, US
Consul General Okinawa Kevin Maher clarified that the two
minesweepers would call at the island as planned. He also said: "The
US Navy has contributed to Japan's security. It's hard to understand
why they are against the planned visit." With this, Maher raised a
question about the stance of Okinawa Prefecture and Yonaguni Town.
The Okinawa prefectural government is calling for the US Navy to
abstain from making port calls at the island, and the Yonaguni
municipal government has clarified its opposition to the planned
port call. Maher was replying to a question asked by the Ryukyu
Shimpo in an interview.
In the face of opposition, the two US minesweepers will visit
Yonagunijima Island as planned. "Not all local residents are opposed
to the visit," Maher said, adding: "The US Navy has made more than
600 port calls in Japan over the past 25 years. Some people
demonstrate against the port call, but many people come out to see
the ships. Most visits are overwhelmingly welcomed." With this,
Maher indicated that he would promote exchanges with local residents
who are in favor of the port call.
One of the reasons cited by Yonaguni Town for its opposition to the
port call is that neither of the island's two ports-one in its Sono
area and the other in its Kubera area-is an open port. In this
respect, Maher noted that the Japan-US Status of Forces Agreement's
TOKYO 00002813 003 OF 011
Article 5 does not distinguish open ports from closed ones.
It is also feared that the planned visit of a US warship to the
island will irritate China and Taiwan. Maher stressed: "US naval
ships have visited here and there in Japan. Just because they visit
a port in Japan provides no reason for another country to oppose
it."
Moreover, with local residents in mind, Maher said: "We'd like to
ask for cooperation and consideration with exchange and friendship.
I hope they will come out to see the visiting ships."
(3) Yonaguni Town Assembly rejects petition opposing US
minesweepers' visit
RYUKYU SHIMPO (Page 2) (Abridged)
June 20, 2007
YONAGUNI-The assembly of Yonaguni Town held a monthly regular
meeting yesterday, with Sonkichi Sakihara presiding. The assembly
voted down a petition opposed to the visits of US warships to
Yonagunijima Island with two of its members for the visits and three
against the visits.
The Okinawa prefectural government has asked the US Navy to abstain
from making port calls at the island of Yonagunijima. In addition,
Yonaguni Mayor Shukichi Hokama has also clarified his opposition.
The town assembly's response had been noted.
The petition was brought by Hiromoto Komine, a member of the
Yonaguni Town Assembly. Citing the record of discussions over the
Japan-US Status of Forces Agreement, Komine noted that US vessels
are allowed to make port calls only at open ports under the normal
circumstances. "The port call planned this time is against that,"
Komine said. He added: "Ishigaki City and other municipalities of
the Yaeyama Islands opposed the visits of US warships, so we should
keep pace with them. If the US warships make a port call, that will
give the impression that it is strong action taken on the strength
of the Japan-US Status of Forces Agreement. It will throw the island
into confusion."
(4) Serious discord between Abe, Upper House chairman Aoki over
civil service reform legislation
ASAHI (Top Play) (Full)
June 21, 2007
"The established order within the House of Councillors" has been
disturbed by Prime Minister Abe. As part of efforts to have a bill
amending the National Civil Service Law clear the current Diet
session, Abe pressed the ruling camp to give reluctant consent to
changing the date of the Upper House election set for July.
Reluctantly bowing to Abe's insistence, Mikio Aoki, chairman of the
Liberal Democratic Party caucus in the Upper House, harshly said
that if the Liberal Democratic Party is defeated in the Upper House
election, "the prime minister will be to blame." In the run-up to
the election, the LDP is now saddled with a serious conflict between
the party president and the most powerful figure in the Upper
House.
On the night of June 15, with only several days left until the end
of the Diet session, the prime minister secretly called Aoki to his
official residence. LDP Secretary General Hidenao Nakagawa was also
TOKYO 00002813 004 OF 011
present. Upper House Secretary General Toranosuke Katayama hurriedly
rushed to the meeting, cancelling some local business.
Abe: "I would like to have the civil service reform legislation
enacted in the ongoing Diet session somehow or other, together with
legislation to reform the Social Insurance Agency."
Aoki: "I cannot take responsibility and do it, because only five
days are left until the session is adjourned. In such a case, there
will be no other means but to extend the session."
Following this conversation, decisions were made to extend the
session for 12 days and to change the date for the Upper House
election.
It was half a month ago that there was a fierce tug-of war between
Abe and Aoki. On May 31, when the civil service reform bill was on
the homestretch in House of Representatives deliberations, Aoki
called Deputy Chief Cabinet Secretary Seiji Suzuki, who comes from
the Upper House, to the Diet and told him: "It (passage of the
public service reform legislation through the Diet) will be
impossible unless the Diet session is extended, so don't bring the
bill into the Upper House."
Aoki took this view: Even if the session is extended by five days,
the maximum number of days to avoid any effect on the timetable of
the Upper House election, it will be impossible to guarantee that
the legislation will be enacted. For Aoki, agreeing to take care of
the civil service bill was tantamount to allowing "the order of the
Upper House" to be upset.
Suzuki conveyed to the prime minister what Aoki had told him. Abe
seemed to have accepted Aoki's suggestion. Seeing the civil service
revision bill clear the Lower House on June 1, Abe said: "I have
entrusted a judgment to the party executive." But Abe had not given
up hope yet. In opinion poll conducted that weekend, the approval
rating for the Abe cabinet went down further. As a tool to turn
around the situation, Abe chose the civil service reform
legislation.
On June 4, at the beginning of the following week, the prime
minister made a phone call to Aoki and earnestly persuaded him to
accept his request, using the expression "my political career." In
an executive meeting on the evening the same day, Abe stated:
"People are highly interested in restrictions on the parachuting of
government employees into private industry after retirement and
bid-rigging at the initiative of government agencies. In a bid to
put an end to this problem under my cabinet, I would like to push
the bill through the current Diet session."
The Upper House LDP tried to grope for ways to skirt the option of
changing the date of the Upper House election by resorting to every
possible means it has so far cultivated. Its basic stance was to
seek a five-day extension of the session by joining hands with the
Upper House Democratic Party of Japan (Minshuto). Some members even
suggested that the committee should discontinue deliberations and
have it discussed at a plenary session.
The Upper House LDP, however, was unable to translate either of the
ideas into action, prior to the Upper House election. Aoki was
overheard saying to his colleague during a farewell party for an
outgoing lawmaker held at the Upper House President's Official
Residence on June 15, before meeting the prime minister: "Unless we
TOKYO 00002813 005 OF 011
take enough time for deliberations, some might begin to say the
Upper House is unnecessary."
The Upper House LDP remains dissatisfied with the disruption of the
order within the Upper House. Upper House Policy Research Council
Chairman Yoichi Masuzoe angrily said: "Changing the date of voting
does no good and a lot of harm. The prime minister is indisputably
like the naked emperor in the fable The Emperor's New Clothes."
Aoki decided to take a counteroffensive, grumbling to his aides: "It
cannot be helped now. It might be an option to fight under the worst
situation." In a speech on June 16, Aoki said: "The responsible
person is Prime Minister Abe. A majority vote is the
victory-or-defeat line. The characteristic of the upcoming election
is that we fight while clarifying who should be held responsible if
the LDP is defeated in the election."
(5) Roundtable among veteran reporters on future of Abe
administration
MAINICHI (Page 2) (Abridged)
Eve., June 19, 2007
The Diet is in uproar. Given Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's insistent
on enacting bills reforming the nation's civil service system, not
to mention the pension fiasco, the current Diet session is now
likely to be extended, thus postponing the House of Councillors
election. Where is the increasingly unpopular Abe administration
headed? The Mainichi Shimbun's special editor Shigetada Kishii,
editorial writer Takakazu Matsuda, and political editor Masahiro
Maruyama discussed the fate of the Abe government.
Kishii: Just a month ago, a person close to Liberal Democratic Party
Secretary General Hidenao Nakagawa told me, "Our losing the election
SIPDIS
(the ruling coalition dropping below a majority) is no longer
likely."
Matsuda: Since then, a series of events have occurred, such as the
revelation of 50 million cases of missing pension payments, which
has caused a national outcry, and the suicide of former Agriculture,
Forestry, and Fisheries Minister Toshikatsu Matsuoka, who was said
to have been involved in the bureaucrat-initiated bid-rigging
scandal involving the Japan Green Resources Agency. Matsuoka also
explained that his office spent millions of yen (in a rent free
public office) on some sort of purified water. The public was angry
with the lax political fund management of Japanese lawmakers. Their
anger was amplified by the Social Insurance Agency's (SIA)
recordkeeping errors that prevented a large number of beneficiaries
from receiving the amounts they are entitled to get.
Kishii: That has turned around the political mood. The Abe
administration, now in a state of turbulence, has been sent into a
tailspin. It could go down in defeat.
Maruyama: To begin with, Minshuto (Democratic Party of Japan) forced
the SIA to unveil the number 50 million in February. Even Minshuto
doesn't know why the matter flared up at this particular time. SIA
reform bills have also been rammed through the Lower House.
Matsuda: I heard the rumor that forces opposing the SIA
dismantlement plan had supplied the information to Minshuto.
Kishii: That means that they are trying to squelch the plan at the
TOKYO 00002813 006 OF 011
risk of their jobs. Those against reforming the civil service system
are capitalizing on the move, as well.
Maruyama: Some pensioners have come forward and claimed that they
have not received their pension benefits in full. That was
astonishing. The figure 50 million suddenly looked realistic.
Matsuda: The government has launched around-the-clock consultation
telephone services, but calls do not get through, and even if a call
gets through, the persons on the other end of the line cannot answer
questions because they are not pros. In the eyes of Minshuto, the
LDP has launched a self-destruction campaign.
Kishii: The word haphazard fits the government's response. It should
have frozen the SIA bills the moment the figure 50 million came
out.
Matsuda: Secretary General Nakagawa reportedly said that the
government would make successive SIA chiefs return their retirement
allowances. I don't think that's possible. Kazuko Yokoo is now a
Supreme Court Justice.
Maruyama: The public outcry will not subside with such a step.
Everyone is worried about their benefits.
Matsuda: Why is Abe so eager to amend the National Civil Service
Law?
Kishii: For one thing, he wants to re-boot his support rating. He
thinks banning the amakudari practice will resonate well with the
public. Administrative Reform Minister Yoshimi Watanabe has often
said, "Mr. Abe is serious. We will get the legislation enacted in
the current Diet session at all costs." But newspapers wrote, "Abe
gives up on the plan," and that inflamed him.
Maruyama: The step is also intended to counter Minshuto's election
measures that are heavily dependent on Rengo (Japanese Trade Union
Confederation).
Matsuda: Faced with mounting key bills, the Upper House doesn't need
another bill.
Maruyama: But the Upper House cannot afford to make Abe lose face
ahead of the election. A delay in the election would cost money. The
Upper House LDP is in a difficult situation.
Kishii: Some think that delaying the election will help the public
rage calm down. I don't know if that will work.
Maruyama: I'm afraid the strategy will backfire. Who knows?
Something terrible might again come out of the SIA, and civil
service reform might not be able to push up Abe's popularity.
Matsuda: Assuming the New Komeito can win 13 seats in the election,
the LDP still needs 51 in order in order for the ruling coalition to
keep its majority in the Upper House. What do you think?
Kishii: That would be difficult. Shizuka Kamei of the People's New
Party predicted a while back that the LDP would win 47 seats with a
margin of plus or minus two. That's plausible, although Kamei seems
to have corrected it recently to 45 seats with a margin of plus or
minus two. A projection by the new YKK trio -- Taku Yamasaki, Koichi
Kato and Makoto Koga -- was 47 seats with a margin of plus or minus
TOKYO 00002813 007 OF 011
two. This means between 49 and 45 -- falling into a minority. New
Komeito Representative Akihiro Ota expressed skepticism about
winning 13 seats, as well.
Matsuda: The Aichi and Saitama electoral districts and eight
proportional representation seats hold the key.
Maruyama: I understand that the LDP and the New Komeito will conduct
barter-like campaign cooperation between the electoral district and
the proportional representation segments. But finding itself under
such a heavy storm of criticism, I don't think the LDP can afford to
shift its votes to the New Komeito.
Matsuda: But the support rate for the party is still fairly high,
which is good news.
Maruyama: As far as public opinion polls are concerned, there is no
mistake that a strong headwind is blowing against the LDP. But no
tail wind is blowing for Minshuto, either.
Matsuda: Voter turnout tends to low in a year with unified local
elections. A low rate will be favorable for the LDP, which relies
heavily on the New Komeito's solid organizational votes.
Kishii: The national outcry over the pension issue may bring about
less than 40 seats to the LDP, as was predicted by Isao Iijima,
private secretary to former Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi.
Maruyama: Mass abstention from voting in protest against the pension
debacle might allow New Komeito votes to sway the outcome.
Kishii: A Diet extension might delay the election to July 22 or 29,
which will put it into the summer vacation season. Will unaffiliated
voters have the interest to cast their votes early?
Maruyama: The opposition block would definitely attack the ruling
camp, saying it has delayed the election aiming at getting a low
voter turnout, which is not good for the ruling bloc.
Matsuda: The LDP's setbacks in elections in the past resulted in
cabinet resignations. I wonder what might happen to the Abe
administration. The LDP garnered 49 seats in the previous Upper
House election, and 44 in the one nine years ago, which cost then
Prime Minister Ryutaro Hashimoto his job.
Kishii: An outcome much lower than what was projected will deal a
strong blow to the party. The common-sense view is that the Abe
administration will stay with over 45 seats.
Maruyama: Expectation is low this time, so even 44 might not
surprise people.
Kishii: What is totally distinct from the political situations in
the past is that there is no power struggle in the LDP to drag down
Abe.
Matsuda: Factional power has weakened, and those eager to replace
Abe belong to small factions.
Kishii: If Abe were to resign, Foreign Minister Taro Aso and former
Finance Minister Sadakazu Tanigaki might come forward. Former Chief
Cabinet Secretary Yasuo Fukuda might also push ahead.
TOKYO 00002813 008 OF 011
Matsuda: Fukuda himself will probably not seek the post. The
Tsushima faction might be able to have its own candidate. What about
SIPDIS
former Prime Minister Koizumi coming back to assume the helm of
government?
Kishii: That's unlikely. I think he plans to retire from politics
when the current term is over.
Kishii: Some are whispering double elections, which I don't buy.
Maruyama: I don't think Abe will opt for it, because chances for
constitutional revision would diminish.
Matsuda: In 1986, double elections were carried out by then Prime
Minister Yasuhiro Nakasone, who said: "Double elections need a
leader with strong wishes." I cannot sense strong wishes in Abe.
(6) Why is the US House resolution on the war comfort-women issue
about to be passed?
TOKYO (Page 24) (Abridged)
June 21, 2007
The seeds for its passage sown by Japan; US essentially warning
Japan not to return to the prewar situation; Accepting
responsibility and making public apology the last chance for Japan
to avoid isolation
The outlook is that a resolution in the US Congress calling on the
Japanese government to apologize for the issue of the use of war
comfort women during World War II will be passed. Why is this US
House of Representatives resolution now headed for passage? Although
the resolution has no binding power, what meaning does it hold for
the pulse of Japan-US relations in the future?
"Although ordinary Americans' interest in the issue is low, apart
from public opinion, it should be watched carefully as an issue
affecting America's diplomatic stance," warned New York-based
journalist Yuji Kitamaru, his face filled with alarm. The resolution
was presented to the House late this January by seven members,
including Congressman Mike Honda, a third-generation
Japanese-American. It urged the Japanese government to "accept
historical responsibility in a clear form" regarding the
comfort-women issue, and to "officially apologize" and "rebut as the
government (domestic arguments (that deny the issue)."
The resolution is not the first to be presented to the House. Since
1996, it has been presented eight times, but each time, it was
scrapped before it reached the House floor. However, Tokyo Economic
University lecturer on women's history Hiroko Suzuki explained: "It
was just Japan's luck that (the comfort-women issue) is now regarded
as a state crime. In 1992, the Republic of Korea's Council on
Measures to deal with the Issue of Voluntary Corps (teishintai =
translation of the original Korean word for comfort women whose
lives were sacrificed to the military) appealed the United Nations
Human Rights Commission, and since then, the issue was seen as a
part of the international mainstream."
Why now is the resolution about to pass the House, even though the
Japanese government has continued to lobby heavily to have it
scrapped as before? In truth, the seeds of its own defeat were sown
by the Japanese side.
TOKYO 00002813 009 OF 011
In February, Foreign Minister Taro Aso criticized the expression in
the resolution, "(the women) were made into sex slaves by the
Japanese army" as "regrettably, not based on objective facts." On
March 5, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe officially stated: "There was not
coercion in the narrow sense," and, "Even if the resolution passes,
I will not apologize." These remarks were criticized by the US
media, with the Wall Street Journal, for example, writing, "Japan
has again shown an irresponsible attitude toward the facts."
However, Prime Minister Abe, during his April visit to the United
States, stressed that he would continue to abide by the statement of
then Chief Cabinet Secretary Yohei Kono (in 1993) recognizing the
involvement of the former Japanese Imperial Army in the
comfort-women issue. The situation then seemed headed toward a
partial cooling off, but doubts remained, with the New York Times
writing that Abe in his "apology" made during his US visit "used
vague words in order to avoid responsibility."
Lawmakers and others run full page opinion ad in US daily
What threw oil on the remaining sparks of doubt, turning them into a
raging fire, was again something the Japanese side did. The trigger
was a full page advertisement titled THE FACTS that came out on June
14 in the Washington Post. Twenty-nine Liberal Democratic Party
(LDP) lawmakers, including former Minister of Agriculture Yoshinobu
Shimamura and thirteen Democratic Party of Japan (Minshuto)
lawmakers including Takashi Kawamura, and others, including
journalist Yoshiko Sakurai signed their names as sponsors of the ad.
The contents denied the involvement of the former Imperial Japanese
Army by listing such examples as a report about local brokers in
prewar Korea who had kidnapped women to make them into comfort women
having been arrested by the police who worked under the Japanese
rule. This was taken as proof that "Japan's true feelings were quite
separate (than what the government said)."
Kitamaru said: "One statement in the ad's contents was terrible. It
claimed, 'The US after occupying Japan, commissioned Japan to set up
clean and safe comfort stations.' Whoever wrote that never thought
about how that would upset US opinion." In reality, Vice President
Cheney has expressed his unhappiness about the ad.
Kitamaru is concerned:
"The US is not making an issue about whether or not there was
coercion (in the issue of the comfort women). The focus is on
whether Japan is becoming positive about the wartime system that
produced comfort women or whether it accepts its war defeat. That is
what the Japanese government does not understand.
"The resolution essentially springs from an alarm that Japan is
moving toward the right. The Democratic Party, which has such a
viewpoint, might become the party of the next presidential
administration, but the Japanese government, which has focused only
on the Bush administration, has no channels at all to that party."
Suzuki proposes that Japan should respond to the House resolution,
saying; "The Japanese government should publicly admit
responsibility, apologize and pay compensation. This may be its last
chance to avoid being isolated in the world."
(7) Interim settlement of account on Abe administration - part 5:
Structural reforms without sacred areas; 3 % spending cut policy
TOKYO 00002813 010 OF 011
eliminated from big-boned economic guidelines; Too many budget
requests reinstated due to pressure from government agencies
TOKYO SHIMBUN (Page 2) (Excerpts)
June 19, 2007
The big-boned economic guidelines have changed (under the Abe
administration). When Junichiro Koizumi was prime minister, it
served as a reform engine to place fetters on budget appropriation
requests, by setting an outline for next year's budget. However, it
is now being reduced to a tool for frontloading budget requests.
The showcase of Koizumi's last big-boned economic policy for fiscal
2006 was a package reform of expenditures and revenues covering five
years. The report was compiled by then State Minister for Economic
and Fiscal Policy Heizo Takenaka, who was in charge of drafting the
report, and LDP Policy Research Council Chairman Hidenao Nakagawa,
who played a role of suppressing opposition from inside the party.
The rumor had it that Nakagawa, who gave priority to spending cuts,
and Yosano, who was searching for ways to boost revenues, including
tax hikes, were at odds. However, they in the end worked out by
force a measure to cut 11.4 - 14.3 trillion yen in spending in order
to address the government commitment to move the primary balance
into the black.
However, there are no indications of such a punch displayed by the
Abe administration in compiling the economic guidelines for fiscal
2007. It incorporated such goals as to prioritize investments in
public works, promote efficiency and cut in public servant expenses.
But the guidelines set no numerical targets for individual
proposals. The best the Abe administration could do was to have the
report note that the five-year spending reform plan proposed in the
fiscal 2006 economic guidelines should be realized.
Regarding the fiscal 2008 budget, too, Abe's economic guidelines
mentioned that budgetary measures necessary to realize a society in
which people can have peace of mind will be taken. Those measures
include strengthened growth potential, including innovation, the
environment and education revitalization, indicating the government
stance of allowing an increase in expenditures.
This reflects moves to establish various sacred areas in structural
reforms, which are supposed to have no such areas.
The economic guidelines for fiscal 2006 contained 36 pages of text.
The annex noting measures to cut 11-14 trillion yen in expenditures
over five years ran to 12 pages, totaling 48 pages. The text of the
report for fiscal 2007 ran to 62 pages.
An increase in the number of pages does not necessarily mean that
contents have been enriched. On the contrary, the volume of a text
tends to be in inverse proportion to its contents. Since various
government agencies put in too many proposals in the guidelines in
an effort to obtain the Kantei's approval for budgetary
appropriation, the guidelines included too many proposals.
Emerging from a meeting of the Council on Economic and Fiscal Policy
(CEFP) on June 12, State Minister for Economic and Fiscal Policy
Hiroko Ota revealed her impression, "You may think it is only
natural for the government to observe the spending reform policy,
but it was difficult more than I had expected." She made this
comment, which could be taken as showing the white feather meeting
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offensive stepped up by various government agencies and members of
Diet policy cliques.
The wording adopted in writing such policies as revenue reform and a
growth strategy, showcases of the big-boned guidelines for fiscal
2007, also lacked a message.
There is the Inspiring Economic Museum in the Tokyo Tower in Minato
Ward, Tokyo. The Cabinet Office opened it in 2005 with the aim of
explaining the present state of the Japanese economy in a lucid
manner. Abe attended the opening ceremony, when he was chief cabinet
secretary.
SIPDIS
During the ceremony, he carried a "debt backpack" weighing 6.5
kilograms, the weight of bank notes worth 65 million yen, a
per-minute increase in government debts.
It has been eight months and a half since Abe took office as prime
minister. Government debts have kept increasing during this
timeframe as well. The outstanding balance of long-term debts held
by the national and local governments has inflated to over 767
trillion yen. How is Abe now taking the weight he carried on his
back two years ago?
DONOVAN
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