Hon Grant Robertson
Minister of Finance
21 December 2018PĀNUI PĀPĀHO
MEDIA STATEMENT
Economy has solid momentum heading into 2019
New Zealand’s economy is in good shape heading into 2019, with data showing annual GDP growth of 3%, strength in
regional economic activity, and rising confidence among consumers and businesses, Finance Minister Grant Robertson says.
“The Coalition Government’s economic plan is focussed on making sure the economy has the underlying fundamentals for
more productive, sustainable and inclusive growth. We’re investing in infrastructure, research and development and
regional economies to support businesses to grow and wages to rise,” Grant Robertson said.
“Figures out from the ANZ today show consumers are finishing the year more confident, mirroring Westpac’s consumer
confidence survey earlier this week. Declines in the international oil price, low and steady interest rates and the
stable housing market have all contributed. This is a positive development, especially for the busy retail sector over
the holiday period.
“Stats NZ this week also reported annual GDP growth of 3% in the year to September 2018 on the back of good wholesale
and retail trade growth, transport sector activity and professional and scientific services. This fits with the
Treasury’s and other economists’ forecasts of 3% growth over the next couple of years, and represents solid underlying
activity.
“While the volatile quarterly number was lower than expected due to temporary factors like the wind-down of major
Kaikōura earthquake repair work and quarterly food manufacturing due to the international situation particularly in the
dairy sector, there were positive signs of the underlying momentum.
“Independent economists said Stats NZ’s regular annual revision of the GDP numbers showed the economy has more momentum
than previously thought, with annual growth around 3% a year. It’s also good to see strength in activity across the
regions, as shown by the ASB’s regional scorecard.
“And, seeing as it’s Christmas, even the ANZ’s monthly business confidence survey – for what it’s worth – rose this week
as investment and employment intentions rose. This fits with the BNZ’s recent business conditions survey showing a solid
business environment at the end of 2018.
“While it’s good to see positive momentum locally, we are keeping a close eye on developments in the international
economy like the US-China trade dispute and Brexit. The Treasury has noted that the biggest risk facing the New Zealand
economy is the international situation. The Coalition Government is running surpluses and keeping debt under control so
that we remain in a good position to deal with any international volatility,” Grant Robertson said.