The latest TV3 CM Research Poll shows the left breaking away from the right, with Labour able to form a government
without the help of Winston Peters.
As with the last three polls a Green victory in the Coromandel is looking essential for a Labour/Alliance/Green
government.
The poll puts Labour on 37 per cent, down four; National on 30 per cent, up two; ACT and the Alliance on nine; NZ First
on six and the greens on 2.8.
Assuming Fitzsimons and Uniteds Peter Dunne win their seats as is looking likely the seats in the House would be
allocated like this: Labour 47, National 38, ACT 12, Alliance 11, NZ First 8, Greens 4, United 1.
This would leave National and ACT well short of a majority with 50 seats and not even the support of Winston Peters
could give them a majority.
Labour and the Alliance would be just short on 58 seats and would need the four Green MPs for a two seat majority –
again effectively sidelining Winston Peters.
Jenny Shipley and Helen Clark are both on 20 per cent in the preferred Prime Minister stakes and 56 per cent of voters
belive they are both good leaders.
This poll is more bad news for National and confirms a swing away from the government as suggested by the last few
polls.
ends