Despite Thin Intelligence Reports, US Plans To Overthrow Iranian Regime
Here we go again. While postwar Iraq continues to crumble, the Bush administration is now setting its sights on a new
target—Iran—in its so-called effort to reshape most of the Middle East and bring democracy to countries ruled by vicious
dictators. But the Bush administration is again relying on flimsy evidence and thin intelligence information in claiming
that the Iran poses an immediate threat to the United States.
The U.S. still hasn’t uncovered any weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. Rumsfeld said in an interview reported by CNN
Tuesday that it’s possible the WMD in Iraq may have been destroyed prior to the war. So right now, the Bush
administration doesn’t have much credibility here or with countries that rightfully opposed the war in Iraq.
Ari Fleischer, Bush’s press secretary, said during his daily press briefing Tuesday that Iran hasn’t taken the
appropriate steps to round up al Qaeda terrorists allegedly hiding out within its borders. Moreover, Iran’s pursuit of
nuclear weapons puts the U.S. in grave danger. Therefore, regime change is in order.
“The future of Iran will be determined by the Iranian people, and I think the Iranian people have a great yearning for
government that is representative of their concerns,” Fleischer said.
Fleischer also said Iran's claim that its nuclear program is designed to produce fuel for civilian nuclear reactors is a
"cover story."
“Our strong position is that Iran is preparing instead to produce fissile materials for nuclear weapons,” Fleischer
said. “That is what we see.”
An Iranian opposition group says the Iranian government is building two secret nuclear sites that might already be
partially operational, producing enriched uranium that could be used in nuclear weapons.
Alireza Jafarzadeh, a spokesman for the National Council of Resistance of Iran, claims the Iranian government has
"planned it" so that it can "be able to get the bomb by 2005."
The NCRI provided detailed information about the previously undisclosed sites -- Lashkar-Abad and Ramandeh, about 25
miles west of Tehran, but offered no direct evidence.
Iranian officials have denied harboring al-Qaeda operatives and said the country would vigorously defend itself against
any U.S. threat, which in the eyes of the Bush administration, could set the stage for another war and further increase
anti-American sentiment and put the U.S. in more danger of terrorist attacks, according to several Democratic lawmakers.
However, the real cover story is the one the Bush administration is spinning in order to win public support for what was
already planned for Iran months ago, well before “Operation Iraqi Freedom.”
Before the United States military decimated Iraq, the neocons at the highly influential think tanks the American
Enterprise Institute and the Project for the New American Century were already advising Bush administration officials,
like Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld, on how to overthrow the ruling parties in Iran, Libya and Syria after the war
in Iraq was over.
Many of AEI and PNAC’s former members are now working in Bush’s administration. PNAC’s influence on Bush’s foreign and
defense policies are so powerful that many of its recommendations on how to transform the military have already been
adopted by the Pentagon.
But unlike Iraq, using military force in these other countries to replace the rulers wasn’t being considered as a way to
oust the regimes, according to former Bush administration officials. Whether or not that becomes the course of action
now is debatable, but even if military force isn’t used for regime change in Iran or other Middle Eastern countries the
reasons for engaging in political warfare in that region is just as troubling as the reasons the U.S. launched a
military attack on Iraq: intelligence information that suggests these countries pose an immediate threat to the U.S. is
thin and possibly non-existent.
Still, the Bush administration has its agenda and it seems that Iran is indeed its next target. Instead of military
action, the Bush administration will encourage a “popular uprising” in its effort to overthrow Iran’s supreme leader,
Ali Khamenei, and lend financial support to Iranians to get the job done.
To get Iranians to rise up against its government, U.S. Senator Sam Brownback, R-Kansas, has drafted an amendment to the
Senate Foreign Authorization bill titled The Iran Democracy Act that calls for using the new Radio Farda to host
programming from Iranian Americans who communicate with their families inside Iran about the desire for an
internationally monitored referendum vote on what form of government Iran should have.
The amendment would also provide grants for private radio and TV stations in the U.S. that broadcast pro-democracy news
and information into Iran. The amendment also provides funds to translate books, videos and other materials into Persian
- specifically, information on building and organizing non-violent social movements.
Moreover, Brownback introduced legislation that would establish an Iran Democracy Foundation to provide grants to the
Iranian-American community and for the radio and TV Stations in the U.S. that broadcast
This is the type of political warfare the Bush administration believes will force Iran’s government from power. But the
Bush administration will have a hard time convincing Iranians that it can follow through on its promise. For one,
anarchy is running amok in postwar Iraq and many critics have accused the Bush administration of abandoning its goal of
democratizing the country. Furthermore, Iranians remember how the first President Bush encouraged the Kurds to rise up
against Saddam Hussein during the 1990s only to be abandoned by that administration and ultimately slaughtered by
Hussein.
But that doesn’t stop the think tanks from believing that it can’t be done.
“For Iran, the approach might be compared to the approach the United States and other democratic states took to Poland
in the 1980s,” said David Frum, President Bush’s former speechwriter, who is credited with coining the phrase “axis of
evil,” in an April 5 presentation at AEI. “In Poland, as in Iran, an economically incompetent authoritarian regime ruled
over an increasingly angry population. In Poland, as in Iran, a mass opposition movement rose up against the regime:
Solidarity in Poland, the student democratic movement in Iran. Back in the 1980s, the United States and its allies never
confronted the Polish communists directly. Instead, they imposed stringent economic sanctions on the regime--and
contributed hundreds of millions of dollars to pay for its covert newspapers and radio stations and to support the
families of jailed or exiled activists…as the regimes
Richard Perle, who sits on the Defense Policy Board, a group that advises Rumsfeld, is more blunt in the reasons for
going after Iran and he is not shy about suggesting that military force be used if necessary.
“The idea that our victory over Saddam will drive other dictators to develop chemical and biological weapons misses the
key point: They are already doing so. That's why we may someday need to preempt rather than wait until we are attacked,”
Perle said in a letter to AEI members earlier this month.
Michael Ledeen, another influential AEI scholar, claims that the U.S. ought to “bag” Iran’s regime because of its
anti-American views.
‘The Iranian people have shown themselves to be the most pro-American population in the Muslim world, but the Iranian
regime is arguably the most anti-American on Earth. Let's support the people, and help them bag the regime.”
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- Jason Leopold is a freelance journalist based in California, he is currently finishing a book on the California energy
crisis. He can be contacted at jasonleopold@hotmail.com.