The above forecast image from the NOAA supercomputer weather model shows the arrival of Typhoon Danas in downtown Tokyo
on Thursday.
And according to the NOAA medium range forecast, Tokyo, which has been struck by only two typhoons in the last two
decades, is facing the prospects of being battered by three typhoons in the space of a single month.
Typhoon Danas is weaker than typhoon Pabuk (see… Destination Tokyo For Typhoon Pabuk, Sludge Report #103 - A Perfect Storm For Kyoto and Typhoon Pabuk Lands, Heads For Tokyo ) which hit the Japanese capital late last month and killed several people during its passage over the Japanese
mainland.
See the following links for detail of the forecast path of Typhoon Danas:
+12 Hours
+24 Hours
+36 Hours
+48 Hours
See also the Joint Typhoon Warning Centre’s forecast path for Danas:
However, while Danas may be weakening and will soon have crossed Japan heading north, another typhoon, Nari, is already
gathering strength over the sea near the island of Okinawa, and is threatening to wreck considerable damage on the
Japanese Islands this coming weekend.
By Saturday, according to the NOAA supercomputer weather model, Typhoon Nari will have reached hurricane intensity, and
its outer edges will be approaching Tokyo as the above image shows.
The current NOAA forecast path for Typhoon Nari shows it passing the Japanese islands to the south, heading east.
See the following links for detail of the forecast path of Typhoon Nari:
September 15th
September 16th
September 17th
September 18th
See also the Joint Typhoon Warning Centre’s forecast path for Nari:
However typhoons and hurricanes are notoriously unpredictable in their paths, and in earlier forecasts for this storm
NOAA has placed Tokyo in its direct path. It is also worth noting that most computer forecast models initially predicted
that both Pabuk and Danas would pass by to the South of Japan.
For a live reading on the status of these typhoons and any others around the globe see the excellent resources at…
The University of Wisconsin
and…
The Joint Typhoon Warning Centre