The coronavirus outbreak is the biggest crisis ever to hit international education
The coronavirus outbreak may be the biggest disruption to international student flows in history.
There are more than 100,000 students
stuck in China who had intended to study in Australia this year. As each day passes, it becomes more unlikely they will
arrive in time for the start of the academic year.
Of course international affairs are bound to sometimes interfere with the more than 5.3 million students studying outside their home country
, all over the world.
After the September 11 attacks in 2001, the United States closed its borders
temporarily and tightened student visa restrictions, particularly for students from the Middle East. Thousands were
forced to choose different study destinations in the following years.
In 2018, Saudi Arabia’s government instructed all its citizens
studying in Canada to return home, in protest at the Canadian foreign minister’s call to release women’s rights
activists held in Saudi jails.
A significant proportion of the 12,000 or so Saudi students in Canada left to continue their studies elsewhere, before
the Saudi government quietly softened its stance.
So we have seen calamities before, but never on this scale. There are a few reasons for this.
Why this is worse than before
The current temporary migration of students from China to Australia represents one of the largest education flows the
world has ever seen. Federal education department data show there were more than 212,000 Chinese international students
in Australia by the end of 2019.
This accounts for 28% of Australia’s total international student population
. Globally, there are only two study routes that involve larger numbers of students. The world’s largest student flow
is from China to the United States and the second largest is from India to the US.
It’s also difficult to imagine a worse time for this epidemic to happen for students heading to the southern hemisphere
than January to February, at the end of our long summer break.
Many Chinese students had returned home for the summer and others were preparing to start their studies at the end of
By comparison, the SARS epidemic in 2003
didn’t significantly dent international student enrolments in Australia because it peaked around April-May 2003, well
after students had started the academic year.
Ending in July that year, the SARS outbreak infected
fewer than half the number of people than have already contracted coronavirus. Even during the SARS outbreak Australia didn’t implement bans
on those travelling from affected countries.
What will the impact be?
This crisis hits hard for many Chinese students, an integral component of our campus communities. It not only causes
disruptions to their study, accommodation, part-time employment and life plans, but also their mental well-being.
A humane, supportive and respectful response from the university communities is vital at this stage.
Australia has never experienced such a sudden drop in student numbers.
The reduced enrolments will have profound impacts on class sizes and the teaching workforce, particularly at masters
level in universities
with the highest proportions of students from China. Around 46% of Chinese students
are studying a postgraduate masters by coursework. If classes are too small, universities will have to cancel them.
And the effects don’t end there. Tourism, accommodation providers, restaurants and retailers who cater to international
students will be hit hard too.
Chinese students contributed A$12 billion to the Australian economy in 2019
, so whatever happens from this point, the financial impact will be significant. The cost of the drop in enrolments in
semester one may well amount to several billion dollars.
The newly-formed Global Reputation Taskforce
by Australia’s Council for International Education has commissioned some rapid response research to promote more
informed discussion about the implications and impacts of the crisis.
If the epidemic is contained quickly, some of the 100,000 students stuck in China will be able to start their studies in
semester one, and the rest could delay until mid-year. But there might still be longer-term effects.
Australia has a world-class higher education system and the world is closely watching how we manage this crisis as it
Prospective students in China will be particularly focused on Australia’s response as they weigh future study options.
The world is watching
Such a fast-moving crisis presents a range of challenges for those in universities, colleges (such as English language
schools) and schools who are trying to communicate with thousands of worried students who can’t enter the country.
Australian universities are scrambling to consider a wide range of responses. These include:
delivering courses online
providing intensive courses and summer or winter courses
arrangements around semester commencement
fee refund and deferral
provision of clear and updated information
support structures for starting and continuing Chinese students, including extended academic and welfare support,
counselling, special helplines, and coronavirus-specific information guidelines
support with visa issues, accommodation and employment arrangements.
A coordinated approach involving different stakeholders who are providing different supports for Chinese students is an
urgent priority. This includes education providers, government, city councils, international student associations,
student groups and professional organisations.
This outbreak further raises awareness within the international education sector of the need for risk management and
crisis response strategies to ensure sustainability.
Most importantly, we need to ensure we remain focused on the human consequences of this tragedy first. Headlines
focusing on lost revenues at a time like this are offensive to international students and everyone involved in
This article is republished from The Conversation
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