By Niall King (Sales Trader, CMC Markets)
Having been mired in the red recently, the local sharemarket has finally emerged from the doldrums posting a solid gain
in the early stages of this morning’s session. Shunning uninspiring leads from overseas markets, the shift in the
domestic interest rate outlook which soured sentiment among domestic investors looks to have dissipated. The major banks
and miners have stolen an early march, driving the benchmark index north in what may be a search for value after days of
selling.
Symptoms of unease that the major equity markets in the US have been displaying since the turn of the year were evident
once more by fluctuations overnight. For the most part, a prosperous environment of generally robust corporate earnings
and steadily improving economic fundamentals continues to prevail. However, given the volatile start to the year that
markets have endured amid Fed tapering and emerging market jitters, investor hesitation in the short-term is
understandable. Mediocre employment data from the world’s largest economy overnight was sufficient to reign in bullish
activity, casting a cloud over the labour market environment ahead of the main payroll reading at the end of the week.
Having started the week firmly on the back-foot, conditions could conspire to see the Aussie dollar potentially end it
by mounting what would have seemed an unlikely charge at US 90 cents. With the local Central Bank showing their hand to
be decidedly less dovish than had previously been envisaged, long side appetite for the local unit has grown forcing
positions to be shuffled.
Today’s headline acts on the economic data front that comes in the form of Retail Sales and the monthly Trade Balance
data. Positive vibes here could add momentum behind the Aussie dollar’s mini-resurgence and could also help entice some
nervous investors back into the equity market. Broader sentiment direction however may have to wait a little longer with
pivotal announcements from the ECB and US non-farm payrolls among others, due in the next 48 hours.’
ENDS