Fairfax Media home loan affordability reports
For February 2008
Rising interest rates cancel out falling house prices; houses still unaffordable
The global credit market turmoil that has increased New Zealand fixed mortgage rates in the last month can take some of
the blame for houses remaining unaffordable in February despite a fall in house prices.
The Fairfax Media Home Loan affordability report shows the average 2 year fixed mortgage rate rose almost a quarter of a
percentage point to 9.56% in February, which almost cancelled out the effect of a 0.7% fall in the median house price to
NZ$337,500. This meant the proportion of median take home pay required to service the mortgage on a median house nudged
down to 80.2% in February from 80.8% in January.
But this is still worse than the 74% of after tax pay required in February last year and the 43.3% required five years
ago. Most bankers believe anything more than 40% of after tax pay is unaffordable.
Affordability improved sharply in Northland because of a larger than average slump in house prices. Home loan
affordability improved marginally in Auckland, Hawkes Bay, Gisborne, Manawatu, Wanganui, Otago and Southland because of
falling house prices.
Affordability worsened in Waikato, Wellington and Christchurch as prices either continued to rise or were flat, adding
to the impact of higher mortgage rates.
The proportion of median take home pay needed to service the mortgage on a median priced home in the Central Otago and
Queenstown region bounced back to 132.8% of an after tax median income, just below its record high in October last year
of 137.9%. It remains the only region where more than 100% of take home pay is required to service the mortgage on a
median house. No region is below the 40% affordability threshold.
The least unaffordable region in New Zealand remains Southland, which saw the portion of after tax median income needed
to service the mortgage on a median house falling to 52.7% from 59% in January. This was largely because of a sharp fall
in house prices, although it remains above the 40% threshold seen as affordable for anyone on a single median income.
Home loan affordability for typical buyers
General/New Zealand Report:
http://wwwinterest.co.nz/HLA/HLA-NZ-March2008.asp
Home loan affordability for first-home buyers
General/New Zealand Report:
http://wwwinterest.co.nz/HLA/FHB-NZ-March2008.asp
ends